Alert archive / Minnesota / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 12, NWS Twin Cities, MN

October 15, 201510 counties in Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this red flag warning at Oct 15, 2015, 4:04 AM CDT for 10 counties in Minnesota. It took effect at Oct 15, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2015, 4:04 AM CDT (09:04 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 15, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN

Counties Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Martin County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

566 
WWUS83 KMPX 150904
RFWMPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
404 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA FOR STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS...

.A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MN. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 35 MPH AND HUMIDITY VALUES
FALLING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

MNZ054-064-151015-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FW.A.0011.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE-
404 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS IS
CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

ALTHOUGH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE 25%...THEREFORE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL NOT BE UPGRADED
TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR LAC QUI PARLE AND YELLOW MEDICINE
COUNTIES.

$$

MNZ073-151715-
/O.UPG.KMPX.FW.A.0011.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMPX.FW.W.0012.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
REDWOOD-
404 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR
SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MNZ074-082>084-091>093-151715-
/O.NEW.KMPX.FW.W.0012.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
BROWN-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
404 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR
SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
438 
WWUS83 KMPX 151626
RFWMPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1126 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA FOR STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS...

.A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MN. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 35 MPH AND HUMIDITY VALUES
FALLING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

MNZ054-064-160000-
/O.EXA.KMPX.FW.W.0012.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE-
1126 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MNZ073-074-082>084-091>093-160000-
/O.CON.KMPX.FW.W.0012.151015T1800Z-151016T0000Z/
REDWOOD-BROWN-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-
FREEBORN-
1126 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

JRB
295 
WWUS83 KMPX 160027
RFWMPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
727 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

MNZ054-064-073-074-082>084-091>093-160130-
/O.EXP.KMPX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151016T0000Z/
LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE-REDWOOD-BROWN-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
727 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

$$

BORGHOFF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 2:45 PM CDTFreeze WarningMPXChippewa, Douglas, Lac qui Parle, Pope, Redwood, Stevens and 2 more18 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Minnesota, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.