Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 15, 2015Monroe County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Aug 15, 2015, 12:25 AM EDT for Monroe County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2015, 12:25 AM EDT (04:25 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2015, 3:30 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Monroe County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 277 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -56 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
277 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1171 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

592 
WGUS51 KBUF 150425
FFWBUF
NYC055-150730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0027.150815T0425Z-150815T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1225 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 330 AM EDT
    
* AT 1223 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS 
  ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  HILTON...HAMLIN BEACH STATE PARK AND BRADDOCK BAY. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN 
THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4334 7783 4334 7776 4332 7771 4332 7773
      4331 7771 4331 7769 4329 7767 4322 7790
      4324 7798 4337 7798

$$

THOMAS
2 follow-up statements
816 
WGUS71 KBUF 150546
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
146 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

NYC055-150730-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150815T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE NY-
146 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY...

AT 142 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA... BUT SOME 
LIGHT RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 3 AM. RADAR ESTIMATES  UP 
TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. 

POWER OUTAGES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE HILTON AND SPENSORPORT AREAS 
WHICH WILL MAKE FLOODING AT NIGHT TIME EVEN HARDER TO SEE. IF 
DRIVING USE EXTRA CAUTION AS FLOODED ROADWAY WILL BE HARD TO SEE. 
TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HILTON...HAMLIN BEACH STATE PARK AND BRADDOCK BAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. 

&&

LAT...LON 4334 7783 4334 7776 4332 7771 4332 7773
      4331 7771 4331 7769 4329 7767 4322 7790
      4324 7798 4337 7798

$$

CHURCH
327 
WGUS71 KBUF 150732
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
332 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

NYC055-150742-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150815T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE NY-
332 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED...AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4334 7783 4334 7776 4332 7771 4332 7773
      4331 7771 4331 7769 4329 7767 4322 7790
      4324 7798 4337 7798

$$

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 9:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF62 min
Aug 14, 10:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF61 min
Aug 14, 11:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe41 min
Aug 15, 12:41 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFErie, Niagara6 hr
Aug 15, 2:22 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFErie5 hr
Aug 15, 4:25 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie80 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.