Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 14, 2015, 3:52 PM EDT for 4 counties in New York. It was in force for 3 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2015, 3:52 PM EDT (19:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2015, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 4:45 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Se Fillmore, NY | A PART OF BOTSFORD HOLLOW ROAD WASHED OUT AND CULVERT PIPE THAT LEADS INTO RUSH CREEK DESTROYED |
| Jul 14, 4:56 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Se Short Tract, NY | WATER RESCUE AT JONES POND CAMPGROUND DUE TO FLASH FLOODING |
| Jul 14, 4:56 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Angelica, NY | PEOPLE TRAPPED IN CAMPERS AT JONES POND CAMPGROUND DUE TO FLOODING |
| Jul 14, 5:00 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Ese Swain, NY | NUMEROUS HOMES FLOODED DOWNSTREAM OF JAMMED UP EWART CREEK NEAR SWAIN SKI AREA. |
| Jul 14, 5:00 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Sse Swain, NY | COMPLETE AND PARTIAL ROAD COLLAPSE ALONG SECTIONS OF COUNTY ROAD 24 IN SWAIN ALONG EWART CREEK. |
| Jul 14, 5:00 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Se Short Tract, NY | WATER RESCUE ON COUNTY ROUTE 15A IN ALLEN |
| Jul 14, 5:10 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Sse Rossburg, NY | FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES IN THE TOWN OF GRANGER. |
| Jul 14, 5:10 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Allen Center, NY | FLASH FLOODING WITH NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES. |
| Jul 14, 5:15 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 N Birdsall, NY | WATER RESCUE IN HOME INUNDATED BY FLOOD WATER ALONG ROUTE 16 IN BIRDSALL |
| Jul 14, 5:30 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Sw Garwoods, NY | COUNTY ROAD 15B CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING OF ADJACENT CREEKS |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 63 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -100 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 862 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
158
WGUS51 KBUF 141952
FFWBUF
NYC003-009-051-121-142245-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0017.150714T1952Z-150714T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
SOUTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
ALLEGANY COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
* UNTIL 645 PM EDT
* AT 350 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. THESE STORMS HAVE ALREADY CAUSED
FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS...WITH ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING
RAINFALL RATES OF TWO INCHES AN HOUR.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
OLEAN...SALAMANCA...WELLSVILLE...ALLEGANY STATE PARK...LETCHWORTH
STATE PARK...ALLEGANY...FRANKLINVILLE AND BELFAST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7881 4220 7876 4264 7814 4260 7782
4242 7777 4200 7790
$$
APFFEL3 follow-up statements
495
WGUS71 KBUF 142109
FFSBUF
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
509 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
NYC003-009-051-121-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150714T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LIVINGSTON NY-CATTARAUGUS NY-ALLEGANY NY-WYOMING NY-
509 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON...EAST CENTRAL CATTARAUGUS...NORTHERN
ALLEGANY AND SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...
AT 502 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAS JUST MOVED
OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. THIS HAS DROPPED OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN
RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IN THE WARNED AREA. FLOODING WAS
REPORTED NEAR FILLMORE AND HOUGHTON...WITH NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES.
SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY CONTINUE TO RISE EVEN AFTER THE
HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ENDED. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR WASHED OUT
ROADWAYS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
&&
LAT...LON 4220 7876 4264 7814 4260 7782 4242 7777
4231 7781
$$
APFFEL485
WGUS71 KBUF 142212
FFSBUF
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
NYC051-121-142217-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150714T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LIVINGSTON NY-WYOMING NY-
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES.
LAT...LON 4229 7841 4250 7819 4251 7788 4250 7784
4247 7784 4247 7778 4243 7777 4241 7777
4231 7781
$$
NYC003-009-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150714T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-ALLEGANY NY-
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS AND NORTHERN ALLEGANY COUNTIES...
AT 607 PM EDT HEAVY RAIN IN EXCEED OF TWO INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ENDED...THERE IS
STILL FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA. CREEKS AND
STREAM CAN CONTINUE TO RISE EVEN AFTER THE RAIN ENDS. AREAS HARDEST
HIT INCLUDE GRANGER AND ALLEN...AS WELL AS NEARBY RURAL AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
&&
LAT...LON 4229 7841 4250 7819 4251 7788 4250 7784
4247 7784 4247 7778 4243 7777 4241 7777
4231 7781
$$
APFFEL159
WGUS71 KBUF 142245
FFSBUF
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
645 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
NYC003-009-142253-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150714T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-ALLEGANY NY-
645 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS AND NORTHERN
ALLEGANY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM EDT...
THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...HOWEVER THERE STILL MAY BE NUMEROUS ROADS
CLOSED IN THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL
EXPIRE...AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
LAT...LON 4229 7841 4250 7819 4251 7788 4250 7784
4247 7784 4247 7778 4243 7777 4241 7777
4231 7781
$$
APFFELThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 11:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 92 min |
| Jul 14, 12:20 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Chautauqua | 4 hr |
| Jul 14, 4:03 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Chautauqua | 6 hr |
| Jul 14, 4:10 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 21 hr |
| Jul 14, 4:16 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 35 hr | |
| Jul 14, 8:40 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 20 min |
| Jul 14, 9:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 23 min |
| Jul 14, 9:27 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 18 min |
| Jul 14, 9:50 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 4 hr |
| Jul 14, 1:47 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus | 50 min |
| Jul 14, 2:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Oswego | 63 min |
| Jul 14, 3:04 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Wyoming | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus | 67 min |
| Jul 14, 4:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston, Wyoming | 34 min |
| Jul 14, 4:19 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Allegany | 26 min |
| Jul 14, 5:24 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 5 hr |
| Jul 14, 7:51 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.