Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 4, 2015Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 4, 2015, 8:05 PM EDT for Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2015, 8:05 PM EDT (00:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2015, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Lewis County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
909 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

887 
WGUS51 KBUF 050005
FFWBUF
NYC049-050300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0012.150705T0005Z-150705T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
805 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
    
* AT 802 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A NEARLY STATIONARY 
  THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP 
  TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS 
  EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN 
THE WARNED AREA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...OTTER CREEK AND 
INDEPENDENCE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 4367 7529 4382 7530 4387 7514 4368 7512

$$

RSH
2 follow-up statements
017 
WGUS71 KBUF 050126
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
926 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

NYC049-050300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-150705T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEWIS NY-
926 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY...

AT 925 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE PERSISTENT 
THUNDERSTORS THAT PRODUCED MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN REMOTE 
AREAS SOUTH OF BEAVER LAKE HAVE WEAKENED AND DRIFTED SOUTHEAST TO 
HERKIMER COUNTY. 

AREAS IMPACTED BY THE HEAVY RAINFALL SINCE 5 PM INCLUDE GREIG... 
BRANTINGHAM...SPERRYVILLE AND PINE GROVE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR 
THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER A QUARTER INCH. 

WHILE THE RAIN IS FINALLY PUSHING SOUTHEAST...THE TORRENTIAL 
DOWNPOURS HAVE CAUSED LOCAL TRIBUTARIES TO RISE TO...OR ABOVE 
BANKFUL IN THE AREA. THESE WATERWAYS INCLUDE OTTER CREEK AND 
INDEPENDENCE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 4367 7529 4382 7530 4387 7514 4368 7512

$$

RSH
125 
WGUS71 KBUF 050255
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1055 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

NYC049-050303-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-150705T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEWIS NY-
1055 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 1100 PM EDT...

WHILE THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY... 
AREA TRIBUTARIES IN THAT AREA WILL CONTINUE TO RUN FAST AND NEAR TO 
ABOVE BANKFULL FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE 
CASE FOR OTTER CREEK AND INDEPENDENCE RIVER. 

LAT...LON 4367 7529 4382 7530 4387 7514 4368 7512

$$

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 8:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis70 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.