Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2015
Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at May 23, 2015, 4:53 AM EDT for 18 counties in Michigan. It took effect at May 23, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 23, 2015, 4:53 AM EDT (08:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 23, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- May 23, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2473 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 73 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
688 WWUS83 KAPX 230853 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 453 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...HIGH FIRE DANGER EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING... .INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES... TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-240000- /O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0002.150523T1600Z-150524T0000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 453 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024... 028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023... 024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042. * WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 15 TO 30 MPH. STRONGEST GUSTS EXPECTED TO THE NORTH OF THE M-72 CORRIDOR. * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT EXPECTED. * HIGHEST THREAT...IS LOCATED EAST OF I-75 AND NORTH OF THE M-72 CORRIDOR WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ JPB
3 follow-up statements
415 WWUS83 KAPX 231610 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1210 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... .SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES...TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-240000- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150524T0000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 1210 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024... 028...029... 030...034...035...036...041 AND 042... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023... 024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042. * WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH. THE STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF THE M-72 CORRIDOR. * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT EXPECTED. * HIGHEST THREAT...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-75 CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF THE M-72. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ SMITH
915 WWUS83 KAPX 231924 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 324 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... .SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE 70S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HOLD BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT. THIS COMBINATION OF CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ021-026-027-032-033-240000- /O.EXA.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150524T0000Z/ ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- 324 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024... 028...029... 030...034...035...036...041 AND 042... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023... 024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042. * WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH INTO EARLY EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY SUNSET. * HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL HOLD BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT THROUGH EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TEMPERATURES COOL AND HUMIDITY LEVELS START TO RISE. * HIGHEST THREAT...WELL INLAND AWAY FROM THE COOLER AIR COMING IN OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-240000- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150524T0000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 324 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024... 028...029... 030...034...035...036...041 AND 042... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023... 024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042. * WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH INTO EARLY EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY SUNSET. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF M-72 CORRIDOR. * HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL HOLD BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT THROUGH EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TEMPERATURES COOL AND HUMIDITY LEVELS START TO RISE. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ SMITH
887 WWUS83 KAPX 240005 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 805 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 MIZ017-018-021>024-026>030-032>036-041-042-240115- /O.EXP.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150524T0000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 805 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017... 018...022...023...024... 028...029... 030...034...035...036... 041 AND 042... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WHILE TEMPERATURES COOL AND HUMIDITIES INCREASE. THE RED FLAG WARNINGS HAS THUS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ JZ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 4:20 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 18 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.