Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2014
Flood Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Mar 27, 2014, 4:17 PM EDT for Erie County, Monroe County, New York. It took effect at Mar 28, 2014, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2014, 4:17 PM EDT (20:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 28, 2014, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2014, 3:34 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Erie County, NY, Monroe County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1260 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
448 WGUS61 KBUF 272017 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 417 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE FRIDAY ON AREA CREEKS... .WARMING TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAIN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL BRING A HEIGHTENED RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. NYZ010-280430- /O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 417 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...NORTHERN ERIE. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE MELTING AND BREAK UP OF ICE ON AREA CREEKS WITH THE ADDITION OF SOME RAINFALL AND RUNOFF BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR RISES AND JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BUFFALO AND CAZENOVIA CREEKS SOUTH OF BUFFALO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ NYZ003-280430- /O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 417 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...MONROE. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE MELTING AND BREAK UP OF ICE ON AREA CREEKS WITH THE ADDITION OF SOME RAINFALL AND RUNOFF BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR RISES AND JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO BLACK CREEK SOUTHWEST OF ROCHESTER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ SMITH
4 follow-up statements
749 WGUS61 KBUF 280202 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1002 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...ICE JAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ON SOME CREEKS... .ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE CREEK AND RIVER ICE HAS MELTED...THERE ARE STILL SOME ICE JAMS IN PLACE...AND OF ICE IN THE HEADWATERS OF CREEKS IN THE WATCH AREA. WARMING TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAIN WILL CAUSE CREEKS TO RISE ENOUGH TO MOVE WHATEVER ICE IS LEFT. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FORECAST THE EXACT TIME AN LOCATION AN ICE JAM WILL DEVELOP...BUT GENERALLY ICE JAMS TEND TO DEVELOP IN THE SAME LOCATIONS FROM YEAR TO YEAR...ESPECIALLY IN SPOTS WHERE THERE ARE SHARP TURNS IN THE CREEK...OR AREAS WHICH CONSTRICT THE FLOW. NYZ010-281015- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 1002 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ERIE COUNTY. * FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BUFFALO AND CAZENOVIA CREEKS SOUTH OF BUFFALO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ NYZ003-281015- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 1002 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * MONROE COUNTY. * FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO BLACK CREEK SOUTHWEST OF ROCHESTER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ APFFEL
220 WGUS61 KBUF 280853 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 453 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...ICE JAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ON SOME CREEKS... .ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE CREEK AND RIVER ICE HAS MELTED...THERE ARE STILL SOME ICE JAMS IN PLACE...AND OF ICE IN THE HEADWATERS OF CREEKS IN THE WATCH AREAS. WARMING TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH AN QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN WILL CAUSE CREEKS TO RISE ENOUGH TO MOVE WHATEVER ICE IS LEFT. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FORECAST THE EXACT TIME AN LOCATION AN ICE JAM WILL DEVELOP...BUT GENERALLY ICE JAMS TEND TO DEVELOP IN THE SAME LOCATIONS FROM YEAR TO YEAR...ESPECIALLY IN SPOTS WHERE THERE ARE SHARP TURNS IN THE CREEK...OR AREAS WHICH CONSTRICT THE FLOW. NYZ010-281700- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 453 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...NORTHERN ERIE. * FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BUFFALO AND CAZENOVIA CREEKS SOUTH OF BUFFALO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ NYZ003-281700- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.140328T1200Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 453 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...MONROE. * FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO BLACK CREEK SOUTHWEST OF ROCHESTER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ JJR
163 WGUS61 KBUF 281439 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1039 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...ICE JAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ON SOME CREEKS... .ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE CREEK AND RIVER ICE HAS MELTED...THERE ARE STILL SOME ICE JAMS IN PLACE...AND SOME ICE IN THE HEADWATERS OF CREEKS IN THE WATCH AREAS. WARMING TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH AN QUARTER TO THIRD OF AN INCH OF RAIN WILL CAUSE CREEKS TO RISE ENOUGH TO MOVE THE ICE THAT IS LEFT. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FORECAST THE EXACT TIME AND LOCATION AN ICE JAM WILL DEVELOP...BUT GENERALLY ICE JAMS TEND TO DEVELOP IN THE SAME LOCATIONS FROM YEAR TO YEAR...ESPECIALLY IN SPOTS WHERE THERE ARE SHARP TURNS IN THE CREEK...OR AREAS WHICH CONSTRICT THE FLOW. NYZ010-282245- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 1039 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...NORTHERN ERIE. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BUFFALO AND CAZENOVIA CREEKS NEAR THE BORDER OF BUFFALO AND WEST SENECA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ NYZ003-282245- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 1039 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...MONROE. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE ANY REMAINING ICE TO BREAK UP ON AREA CREEKS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS. * ICE JAMMING MAY CAUSE A BACKUP OF WATER ON AREA CREEKS WHICH MAY BRING SOME FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK BANKS. ICE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO BLACK CREEK SOUTHWEST OF ROCHESTER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ HITCHCOCK
493 WGUS61 KBUF 281934 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 334 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 NYZ003-010-282045- /O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-140329T1200Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...BUFFALO 334 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK INCLUDING MONROE AND NORTHERN ERIE COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS LAST NIGHT AND TODAY HAVE BEEN LOWER THAN EXPECTED...RESULTING IN LESS RUNOFF INTO AREA CREEKS. LOCAL OFFICIALS ALSO REPORT RIVER AND CREEK ICE CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING. LOCAL OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE CREEKS... BUT IT APPEARS THE RISK OF ANY FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS DIMINISHING. $$ HITCHCOCK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 4:40 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie | 30 hr |
| Mar 27, 3:49 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Lewis | 16 hr |
| Mar 27, 4:32 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 33 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.