Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2014

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI

April 15, 2014Roscommon County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Apr 15, 2014, 12:11 PM EDT for Roscommon County, Michigan. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2014, 12:11 PM EDT (16:11 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Roscommon County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -215 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
522 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
96 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-215 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

539 
WGUS53 KAPX 151611
FFWAPX
MIC143-152200-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0001.140415T1611Z-140415T2200Z/
/00000.2.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1211 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR A DAM FAILURE IN...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ROSCOMMON COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT

* AS OF 1200 PM EDT...THE WRACO LODGE DAM HAS FAILED.

THE WRACO LODGE DAM ALONG WOLF CREEK HAS GIVEN WAY AND HIGH WATERS 
ARE NOW MOVING DOWNSTREAM TOWARD OLD 27 AND US-127. WATER HAS BEEN 
REPORTED TO BE SEVERAL INCHES FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE US-127 BRIDGE. 
AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE DAM SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR FLOODING. THE 
POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT WATER MAY COVER US-127 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 
185 AND 186. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PEOPLE BELOW THE DAM SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION BY MONITORING LOCAL
RADIO OR TELEVISION AND FOLLOWING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ANY REQUIRED
EVACUATION AS OUTLINED BY LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
TOWN LINE CREEK...WOLF CREEK...AND THE MUSKEGON RIVER.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 8485 4421 8485 4421 8480 4416 8478
      4416 8485

$$

LAWRENCE/ARNOTT
3 follow-up statements
046 
WGUS73 KAPX 151728
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
128 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

MIC143-152200-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140415T2200Z/
/00000.2.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROSCOMMON MI-
128 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN 
ROSCOMMON COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

THE WRACO LODGE DAM ALONG WOLF CREEK HAS FAILED AND HIGH WATERS ARE 
NOW MOVING DOWNSTREAM TOWARD OLD 27 AND US-127. WATER HAS BEEN 
REPORTED TO BE SEVERAL INCHES FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE US-127 BRIDGE. 
AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE DAM SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR FLOODING. THE 
POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT WATER MAY COVER US-127 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 
185 AND 186. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...TOWN LINE 
CREEK...MUSKEGON RIVER AND WOLF CREEK.

SEVERAL ROADS HAVE BEEN REPORTED CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING POTENTIAL. 
THEY ARE AS FOLLOWS:

OLD 27 FROM THE CLARE COUNTY LINE TO SNOWBOWL ROAD.
COUNTY ROAD 402 FROM PADDLE TRAIL SOUTHWARD.
WRACO ROAD AND ROLLWAY ROAD FROM OLD 27 TO RESERVE ROAD.
NEWAYGO AND TOWNLINE ROADS FROM WRACO ROAD TO ROLLWAY ROAD.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 8485 4421 8485 4421 8480 4416 8478
      4416 8485

$$

LAWRENCE
106 
WGUS73 KAPX 151902
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
302 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

MIC143-152200-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140415T2200Z/
/00000.2.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROSCOMMON MI-
302 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN 
ROSCOMMON COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 257 PM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FROM THE COUNTY REPORTS THAT 
WATER LEVELS ARE NOW APPROXIMATELY ONE FOOT BELOW THE US-127 BRIDGE 
AND SLOWLY FALLING. HOWEVER...OLD 27 NEAR WOLF CREEK REMAINS UNDER 
WATER AND CLOSED. OTHER ROADS THAT REMAIN CLOSED INCLUDE WRACO AND 
ROLLWAY ROADS FROM OLD 27 EAST TO RESERVE ROAD...AND NEWAYGO AND 
TOWNLINE ROADS FROM WRACO ROAD ROAD SOUTH TO ROLLWAY ROAD. 

THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
WOLF CREEK...TOWN LINE CREEK...AND MUSKEGON RIVER.

WATER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE LATE 
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 8485 4421 8485 4421 8480 4416 8478
      4416 8485

$$

LAWRENCE
913 
WGUS73 KAPX 151906
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
306 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

MIC143-152200-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140415T2200Z/
/00000.2.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROSCOMMON MI-
306 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROSCOMMON
COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 257 PM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FROM THE COUNTY REPORTS THAT 
WATER LEVELS ARE NOW APPROXIMATELY ONE FOOT BELOW THE US-127 BRIDGE 
AND SLOWLY FALLING. HOWEVER...OLD 27 NEAR WOLF CREEK REMAINS UNDER 
WATER AND CLOSED. OTHER ROADS THAT REMAIN CLOSED INCLUDE WRACO AND 
ROLLWAY ROADS FROM OLD 27 EAST TO RESERVE ROAD...AND NEWAYGO AND 
TOWNLINE ROADS FROM WRACO ROAD SOUTH TO ROLLWAY ROAD. 

THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
WOLF CREEK...TOWN LINE CREEK...AND MUSKEGON RIVER.

WATER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE LATE 
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 8485 4421 8485 4421 8480 4416 8478
      4416 8485

$$

LAWRENCE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 9:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningAPXOscoda52 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2014Every flash flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.