Alert archive / Florida / Hurricane Local Statements in 2013
Hurricane Local Statement 1012, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this hurricane local statement at Oct 3, 2013, 11:59 AM EDT for 5 counties in Florida. It was in force for 53 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 3, 2013, 11:59 AM EDT (15:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 5, 2013, 4:55 PM EDT
- In force
- 53 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
Counties Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 920 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
468 WTUS82 KTAE 031559 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1159 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...HURRICANE WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM KAREN HAS STRENGTHENED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 MPH. HURRICANE WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM INDIAN PASS WESTWARD. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...OR 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2N...LONGITUDE 87.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 570 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NNW AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. THE STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY NORTH NORTHEAST BY THE WEEKEND INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING OR SUNDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-032300- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 1159 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 /1059 AM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/ ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR HURRICANE SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION. WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATION FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS AROUND 5 PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AROUND 50 PERCENT. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS STILL A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE PRECISE STORM SURGE AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. MUCH AS WITH THE WIND FORECAST...FUTURE SHIFTS IN THE TRACK OF KAREN TO THE EAST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE FORECASTS AND GREATER IMPACTS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...INLAND FLOODING... SOILS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE REMAIN SATURATED AFTER RECENT RAINFALL OF THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO PREDICT EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH KAREN...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS INCREASING...ESPECIALLY IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST AND BRINGS HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE REGION. $$ FLZ115-032300- /O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.1012.131003T1559Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 1159 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...STORM SURGE POSSIBLE WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-032300- /O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.1012.131003T1559Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 1159 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...STORM SURGE POSSIBLE WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-032300- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1159 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 14 TO 18 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. $$ GODSEY
10 follow-up statements
806 WTUS82 KTAE 032152 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM KAREN CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... THE HURRICANE WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...OR 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 88.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. THE STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY NORTH NORTHEAST BY THE WEEKEND INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING OR SUNDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR STORM DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-040600- /O.CAN.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.TR.A.1012.131003T2152Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 /452 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED... $$ FLZ115-040600- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-040600- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-040600- /O.CAN.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.TR.A.1012.131003T2152Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED... $$
455 WTUS82 KTAE 032210 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 610 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM KAREN CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... THE HURRICANE WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...OR 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 88.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. THE STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY NORTH NORTHEAST BY THE WEEKEND INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING OR SUNDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR STORM DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-040615- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 610 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 /510 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR STORM SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION. WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATION FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY AND ON FRIDAY. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED. HOWEVER...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS REMAINS NEAR 50 PERCENT. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS STILL A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE PRECISE STORM SURGE AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. MUCH AS WITH THE WIND FORECAST...FUTURE SHIFTS IN THE TRACK OF KAREN TO THE EAST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE FORECASTS AND GREATER IMPACTS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...INLAND FLOODING... SOILS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE REMAIN SATURATED AFTER RECENT RAINFALL OF THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO PREDICT EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH KAREN...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS INCREASING...ESPECIALLY IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST AND BRINGS HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE REGION. $$ FLZ115-040615- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 610 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-040615- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 610 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-040615- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 610 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED. HOWEVER...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 14 TO 18 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. $$ GODSEY
398 WTUS82 KTAE 040411 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1211 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...KAREN EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...OR 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2N...LONGITUDE 89.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. THE STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY AND THEN NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING OR EARLY SUNDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-041215- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 1211 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /1111 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR STORM SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION. WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATION FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY AND ON FRIDAY. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS REMAINS NEAR 50 PERCENT. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS STILL A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE PRECISE STORM SURGE AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. MUCH AS WITH THE WIND FORECAST...FUTURE SHIFTS IN THE TRACK OF KAREN TO THE EAST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE FORECASTS AND GREATER IMPACTS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...INLAND FLOODING... SOILS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE REMAIN SATURATED AFTER THE HEAVY RAINFALL OF THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO PREDICT EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH KAREN...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS INCREASING...ESPECIALLY IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST AND BRINGS HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE REGION. $$ FLZ115-041215- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 1211 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...RIP CURRENTS... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-041215- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 1211 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-041215- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1211 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME AROUND 50 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 14 TO 18 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. $$
524 WTUS82 KTAE 041008 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 608 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...KAREN WEAKENS A LITTLE...EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT... .NEW INFORMATION... NO CHANGES TO WATCHES AT THIS TIME. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...OR 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9N...LONGITUDE 89.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING. THE STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-041815- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 608 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /508 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR STORM SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION. WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATION FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY AND ON FRIDAY. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE PRECISE STORM SURGE AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. MUCH AS WITH THE WIND FORECAST...FUTURE SHIFTS IN THE TRACK OF KAREN TO THE EAST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE FORECASTS AND GREATER IMPACTS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...INLAND FLOODING... SOILS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE REMAIN SATURATED AFTER THE HEAVY RAINFALL OF THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO PREDICT EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH KAREN...GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 FEET ON SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY HIGHER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AS WELL AS MINOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ115-041815- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 608 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...RIP CURRENTS... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-041815- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 608 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-041815- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 608 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 14 TO 18 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. $$
624 WTUS82 KTAE 041600 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...KAREN WEAKENS A LITTLE FURTHER BUT IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT... .NEW INFORMATION... NO CHANGES TO WATCHES AT THIS TIME. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF COUNTIES. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM. ALTHOUGH WATCHES ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AROUND APALACHEE BAY...THERE IS STILL CONCERN ABOUT RELATED HAZARDS IN THOSE AREAS...PARTICULARLY RELATED TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...OR 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6N...LONGITUDE 90.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERAL NORTHERLY DIRECTION TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. THE STORM IS LIKELY TO TAKE A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST LATER ON SATURDAY. ON A NORTHEAST COURSE TROPICAL STORM KAREN WOULD PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA SOMETIME ON SUNDAY. KAREN WAS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THE STORM SHOULD MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE INTENSITY TODAY...BUT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE LOUISIANA COAST AND BEGINS TO TURN NORTHEAST. UNCERTAINTY IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL WITH THIS STORM AS THE TIMING OF THE NORTHEAST TURN COULD MAKE A NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE IN LANDFALL LOCATION ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. GIVEN THAT...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION...PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FORECASTS CLOSELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-050000- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /1100 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR STORM SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. PREPARE FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 44 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE PRECISE STORM SURGE AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. MUCH AS WITH THE WIND FORECAST...FUTURE SHIFTS IN THE TRACK OF KAREN TO THE EAST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE FORECASTS AND GREATER IMPACTS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...INLAND FLOODING... GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE SOME FLASH FLOODING PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 FEET BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AS WELL AS MINOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ115-050000- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ...RIP CURRENTS... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-050000- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-050000- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 14 TO 18 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SUNDAY. ...WATERSPOUTS... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL BE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ 08-LAMERS
209 WTUS82 KTAE 042159 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 559 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...KAREN DISORGANIZED AND MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...MAY RE-INTENSIFY SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT... .NEW INFORMATION... NO CHANGES TO WATCHES AT THIS TIME. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF COUNTIES. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM. ALTHOUGH WATCHES ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AROUND APALACHEE BAY...THERE IS STILL CONCERN ABOUT RELATED HAZARDS IN THOSE AREAS...PARTICULARLY RELATED TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...OR 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9N...LONGITUDE 90.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERAL NORTHERLY DIRECTION TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. THE STORM IS LIKELY TO TAKE A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST LATER ON SATURDAY. ON SUCH A COURSE...THE STORM WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO HAVE A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLOWER MOTION THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...AND THEREFORE THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FOR OUR AREA SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY. KAREN REMAINS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL...BUT SOME INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT AS KAREN NEARS THE LOUISIANA COAST AND BEGINS TO TURN NORTHEAST. UNCERTAINTY IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL WITH THIS STORM AS THE TIMING OF THE NORTHEAST TURN COULD MAKE A NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE IN LANDFALL LOCATION ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. GIVEN THAT...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION...PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FORECASTS CLOSELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-050600- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 559 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /459 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR STORM SAFETY PLAN IN ACTION WHILE THE STORM IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. PREPARE FOR THE STORM'S ARRIVAL BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES. CONSIDER STOCKING UP ON NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS AND PLENTY OF WATER...ENOUGH FOR EACH PERSON IN YOUR FAMILY FOR THREE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND A RADIO SHOULD YOUR HOME LOSE POWER. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE STORM GETS CLOSER TO MAKE THE DECISION TO STOCK UP ON THESE AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ITEMS. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUIET WEATHER TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS BETWEEN 30 AND 37 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. THE STORM SURGE FORECAST IS DEPENDENT UPON THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF KAREN...SO FUTURE CHANGES IN EITHER OF THOSE WOULD AFFECT THE STORM SURGE FORECAST. ...INLAND FLOODING... GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE SOME FLASH FLOODING PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY...INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 FEET BY SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AS WELL AS MINOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ115-050600- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 559 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY. ...RIP CURRENTS... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-050600- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 559 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-050600- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 559 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CAPE SAN BLAS. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 16 TO 20 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT. ...WATERSPOUTS... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY. $$ 08-LAMERS
731 WTUS82 KTAE 050404 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1204 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...KAREN LOSING PUNCH IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...OR 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4N...LONGITUDE 90.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERAL NORTHERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THE STORM IS LIKELY TO TAKE A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST LATER ON SATURDAY. ON SUCH A COURSE...THE STORM WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO HAVE A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FOR OUR AREA SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY. KAREN REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL...BUT SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE COAST. GIVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION...PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FORECASTS CLOSELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-051200- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 1204 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /1104 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 35 TO 40 PERCENT. THIS IS ROUGHLY UNCHANGED FROM THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. THE STORM SURGE FORECAST IS DEPENDENT UPON THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF KAREN...SO FUTURE CHANGES IN EITHER OF THOSE WOULD AFFECT THE STORM SURGE FORECAST. ...INLAND FLOODING... GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE SOME MINOR FLOODING PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY... INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 FEET BY SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE LIFE- THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AS WELL AS MINOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ115-051200- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN- 1204 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY. ...RIP CURRENTS... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ118-127-128-134-051200- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE- 1204 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD INCREASE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 4 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 3 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTIES. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY. $$ GMZ750-770-051200- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1204 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 40 TO 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CAPE SAN BLAS. IF FUTURE FORECASTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST...THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AT LEAST 16 TO 20 FEET AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA...PARTICULARLY ON SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT. ...WATERSPOUTS... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY. $$
260 WTUS82 KTAE 050940 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 540 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...KAREN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...OR 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1N...LONGITUDE 91.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERAL NORTHERLY DIRECTION THIS MORNING BEFORE TURNING TO THE NORTHEAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON SUCH A COURSE...THE STORM WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO HAVE A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OR COASTAL ALABAMA LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FOR OUR AREA SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY. KAREN REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED AND IS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-051745- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 540 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /440 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DECREASE SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST MAY INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE. ...INLAND FLOODING... GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE SOME MINOR FLOODING PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ115-118-127-128-134-051745- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR- COASTAL DIXIE- 540 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 2 TO 4 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 3 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTIES. $$ GMZ750-770-051745- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 540 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DECREASE SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY TO INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CAPE SAN BLAS. SEAS WILL LIKELY REACH 5 TO 8 FEET BY SUNDAY AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. ...WATERSPOUTS... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WITH TROPICAL STORM KAREN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL BE FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY. $$
047 WTUS82 KTAE 051537 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM OFF THE COAST OF LOUISIANA... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...OR 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9N...LONGITUDE 91.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... KAREN REMAINS A DISORGANIZED AND WEAK TROPICAL STORM. KAREN WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ACCELERATE. WHILE LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...KAREN COULD APPROACH LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTH ALABAMA OR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH...CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. BE PREPARED TO PUT INTO ACTION YOUR STORM DISASTER PLAN SHOULD TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS BE ISSUED. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ108-112-114-052200- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /1037 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN WINDS UP TO 40 MPH. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BE ISSUED. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS NO CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH KAREN. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEARS THE REGION...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER WINDS WILL INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...WINDS UP TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY IN GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE WINDS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...GENERALLY CONFINED TO LOW LYING AREAS IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST. ...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF... NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. $$ FLZ115-118-127-128-134-052200- /O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR- COASTAL DIXIE- 1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEKEND... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. && ...WINDS... WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTIES. $$ GMZ750-770-052200- /O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS A 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CAPE SAN BLAS. SEAS WILL LIKELY REACH 5 TO 8 FEET BY SUNDAY AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. $$ GODSEY
351 WTUS82 KTAE 052055 HLSTAE URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 455 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .NEW INFORMATION... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING AREAS...SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY...AND COASTAL GULF AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...OR 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1N...LONGITUDE 91.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 470 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 390 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH AT 2 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... KAREN WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH TONIGHT AND THEN TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. KAREN WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. WITH KAREN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE REGION HAS DIMINISHED. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON KAREN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .NEXT UPDATE... AS IT PERTAINS TO THIS EVENT...THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE. PLEASE REFER TO FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNING PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR HAZARDS SPECIFIC TO THE AREA. FLZ108-112-114-052200- /O.CAN.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF- 455 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /355 PM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/ ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH KAREN. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED OR WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WINDS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT NEARS THE AREA. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING A HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING. TIDES MAY APPROACH ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$ FLZ115-118-127-128-134-052200- /O.CAN.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR- COASTAL DIXIE- 455 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...COASTAL FLOOD THREAT DIMINISHING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUES TO DECREASE AS KAREN IS PREDICTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY ACROSS THE REGION. SOME AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...PARTICULARLY BETWEEN ALLIGATOR POINT AND ADAMS BEACH COULD SEE TIDES UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON SUNDAY EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR IMPACTS ANTICIPATED. $$ GMZ750-770-052200- /O.CAN.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 455 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE MARINE AREA. HOWEVER...MARINERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND AS HIGH SEAS AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT LONGER ANTICIPATED HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES NEAR THE MARINE AREA. $$
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 9:17 AM EDT | Hurricane Watch | TAE | Bay, Gulf, Walton | 9 hr |
| Oct 3, 4:29 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | TAE | Franklin | 9 hr |
| Oct 3, 5:52 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Watch | TAE | Bay, Gulf, Walton | 47 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Local Statements in Florida, 2013Every hurricane local statement in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.