Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2012

Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 16, 2012Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2012, 7:19 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 116 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2012, 7:19 PM MST (02:19 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2012, 9:15 PM MST
In force
116 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 7:30 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD3 Nne Coronado National, AZWEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED FLOODING AT ASH CANYON AND TWIN OAKS ROAD. WATER WAS RAPIDLY FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY IN A SWATH ABOUT 20 FEET WIDE AND 6 INCHES DEEP WITH SMALL 10 TO 15 LB BOULDERS WITHIN THE FLOW.
Jul 16, 8:15 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD5 W Hereford, AZTRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER IN ASH CANYON REPORTED THAT ASH CANYON WAS SWOLLEN WITH RAPIDLY FLOWING WATERS ROARING THROUGH THE CANYON.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 646 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
646 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2318 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

613 
WGUS55 KTWC 170219
FFWTWC
AZC003-170415-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0013.120717T0219Z-120717T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
719 PM MST MON JUL 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
   INCLUDING THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA

* UNTIL 915 PM MST

* AT 709 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND  
REPORTS FROM A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER INDICATES THAT A THUNDERSTORM 
OVER THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY 
RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER ASH CANYON. THIS RAINFALL IS LIKELY RESULTING 
IN FLASH FLOODING.

RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES WERE GREATER THAN AN INCH OF RAIN. 
ADDITIONAL CANYONS IN THE HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS COULD EXPERIENCE A RISE 
IN WATERS AS THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE OVER THE REGION. 
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WEST OF THE HUACHUCAS WILL LIKELY MOVE OVER THE 
REGION WITHIN THE HOUR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SHORT PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL ON A BURNED WATERSHED CAN LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODS. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY...BUT IF IT IS UNSAFE TO
EVACUATE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING...HEAVY RAIN...OR POOR VISIBILITY THE
BEST ACTION MAY BE TO SHELTER IN PLACE IN A STURDY STRUCTURE. THE
FORCE OF RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS CAN DAMAGE OR DESTROY CULVERTS...
BRIDGES...ROADWAYS...AND BUILDINGS. REMEMBER NEVER TO DRIVE THROUGH
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER...YOU MAY BE SWEPT AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3150 11015 3134 11013 3134 11034 3149 11032

$$
1 follow-up statement
150 
WGUS75 KTWC 170333
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
833 PM MST MON JUL 16 2012

AZC003-170415-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120717T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
833 PM MST MON JUL 16 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM MST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 818 PM MST...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED FLASH FLOODING 
WAS OCCURRING IN ASH CANYON WITHIN THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA IN 
SOUTHWEST COCHISE COUNTY. 

WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATED THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS HAS 
OCCURED OVER RAMSEY...MILLER....ASH AND STUMP CREEK CANYONS. 

ADDITIONAL CANYONS IN THE HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS COULD EXPERIENCE A RISE 
IN WATERS AS THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WEST OF THE HUACHUCAS WILL 
LIKELY MOVE OVER THE REGION WITHIN THE HOUR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SHORT PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL ON A BURNED WATERSHED CAN LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODS. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY...BUT IF IT IS UNSAFE TO
EVACUATE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING...HEAVY RAIN...OR POOR VISIBILITY THE
BEST ACTION MAY BE TO SHELTER IN PLACE IN A STURDY STRUCTURE. THE
FORCE OF RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS CAN DAMAGE OR DESTROY CULVERTS...
BRIDGES...ROADWAYS...AND BUILDINGS. REMEMBER NEVER TO DRIVE THROUGH
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER...YOU MAY BE SWEPT AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3150 11015 3134 11013 3134 11034 3149 11032

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 7:07 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise83 min
Jul 16, 7:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima51 min
Jul 16, 8:09 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima111 min
Jul 16, 9:22 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise3 hr
Jul 17, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise, Santa Cruz55 min
Jul 17, 3:51 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2012Every flash flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.