Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 658

October 1, 201225 counties in Alabama; 74 counties in Georgia; 22 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 1, 2012, 1:16 PM CDT for 25 counties in Alabama; 74 counties in Georgia; 22 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 1, 2012, 1:16 PM CDT (18:16 UTC)
Expired
Oct 1, 2012, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 121 counties

Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lee County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Macon County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Baldwin County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Harris County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Murray County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Pike County, GA, Polk County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Troup County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walker County, GA, Walton County, GA, Webster County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBanks, Barrow, Jackson, Madison24 min
Oct 1, 5:13 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXDeKalb, Smith, Trousdale, Wilson32 min
Oct 1, 5:41 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXSmith, Trousdale19 min
Oct 1, 6:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOHXRutherford, Trousdale, Wilson2 hr
Oct 1, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson19 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-10-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 512 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-10-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 240 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
512 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
479 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
301 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

468 
WWUS20 KWNS 011822
SEL8
SPC WW 011822
ALZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-020100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 658
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ALABAMA
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN GEORGIA
       SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 65 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
COLUMBUS GEORGIA TO 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF CHATTANOOGA
TENNESSEE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...MODEST HEATING OF A VERY MOIST WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY
LAYER HAS CONTRIBUTED TO AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PAST
HOUR OR SO.  THE DEVELOPING STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO EXHIBIT WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS...AND GIVEN THE FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND 30 KT/...AN
UPWARD TREND IN TERMS OF STORM ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT...POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES ALONG WITH
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IS EVIDENT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...GOSS/HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 9:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more87 min
Oct 1, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Dale, Escambia and 5 more2 hr
Oct 1, 5:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne and 20 more114 min
Oct 1, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay and 13 more53 min
Oct 1, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne and 12 more2 hr
Oct 1, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChambers, Cherokee, Cleburne, Lee, Randolph95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.