Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 39
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2012, 3:53 PM CST for 14 counties in Kansas; 36 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2012, 3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2012, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 50 counties
Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 4:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Logan, Thomas | 45 min |
| Feb 28, 5:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 5:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell | 26 min |
| Feb 28, 5:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Cloud, Republic | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 5:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Republic | 36 min |
| Feb 28, 6:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Republic | 20 min |
| Feb 28, 6:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Buffalo, Kearney, Phelps | 31 min |
| Feb 28, 6:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hall, Howard | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 7:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Cloud, Washington | 44 min |
| Feb 28, 7:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, Thayer | 36 min |
| Feb 28, 7:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Morris | 33 min |
| Feb 28, 8:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Lyon, Morris, Wabaunsee | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 720 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 456 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 433 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
768
WWUS20 KWNS 282151
SEL9
SPC WW 282151
KSZ000-NEZ000-290300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
CENTRAL NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
900 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
COLUMBUS NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING
AHEAD OF A DEEP SURFACE LOW...AND NEAR THE DRYLINE. THESE STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE SUPERCELLULAR FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO SHORT LINE SEGMENTS AFTER
DARK WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cloud, Ellis, Graham, Jewell, Marshall, Mitchell and 7 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay, Dickinson and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:41 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barton, Butler, Chase, Cowley, Ellsworth, Harper and 11 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2012Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.