Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 39

February 28, 201214 counties in Kansas; 36 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2012, 3:53 PM CST for 14 counties in Kansas; 36 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2012, 3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2012, 9:00 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 4:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Logan, Thomas45 min
Feb 28, 5:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell42 min
Feb 28, 5:24 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell26 min
Feb 28, 5:31 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPCloud, Republic29 min
Feb 28, 5:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic36 min
Feb 28, 6:04 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPRepublic20 min
Feb 28, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Kearney, Phelps31 min
Feb 28, 6:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHall, Howard42 min
Feb 28, 7:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Washington44 min
Feb 28, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer36 min
Feb 28, 7:57 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPMorris33 min
Feb 28, 8:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon, Morris, Wabaunsee47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 456 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
720 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
456 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
433 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

768 
WWUS20 KWNS 282151
SEL9
SPC WW 282151
KSZ000-NEZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
       CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
900 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
COLUMBUS NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING
AHEAD OF A DEEP SURFACE LOW...AND NEAR THE DRYLINE.  THESE STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE SUPERCELLULAR FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES.  THE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO SHORT LINE SEGMENTS AFTER
DARK WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 2:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Ellis, Graham, Jewell, Marshall, Mitchell and 7 more3 hr
Feb 28, 5:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay, Dickinson and 26 more2 hr
Feb 28, 5:41 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Cowley, Ellsworth, Harper and 11 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2012Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.