Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 220

May 1, 20126 counties in Iowa; 37 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2012, 2:59 PM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; 37 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2012, 2:59 PM CDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2012, 9:24 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Brown County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rock County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Clay County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, McCook27 min
May 1, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXPope, Stearns33 min
May 1, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLincoln, Lyon, Murray, Pipestone29 min
May 1, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Stearns, Wright35 min
May 1, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXPope, Stearns47 min
May 1, 4:46 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXPope, Stearns44 min
May 1, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon33 min
May 1, 5:07 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSherburne, Stearns, Wright38 min
May 1, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Lac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine67 min
May 1, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXStearns36 min
May 1, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDPipestone29 min
May 1, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood, Yellow Medicine32 min
May 1, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon, Murray26 min
May 1, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison, Stearns37 min
May 1, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSherburne37 min
May 1, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne, Stearns46 min
May 1, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood52 min
May 1, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Sherburne46 min
May 1, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, Minnehaha27 min
May 1, 6:25 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne35 min
May 1, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHutchinson, Lincoln, McCook, Minnehaha, Turner46 min
May 1, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Redwood62 min
May 1, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood, Murray34 min
May 1, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Mille Lacs, Sherburne34 min
May 1, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Stearns, Wright52 min
May 1, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon, Sioux33 min
May 1, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, McLeod, Sibley51 min
May 1, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon, Sioux33 min
May 1, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon, Sioux34 min
May 1, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDRock28 min
May 1, 7:57 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon33 min
May 1, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood23 min
May 1, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon36 min
May 1, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Nicollet, Sibley66 min
May 1, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Redwood25 min
May 1, 8:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLyon3 hr
May 1, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, O'Brien, Plymouth, Sioux30 min
May 1, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDickinson, Osceola38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 192 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 364 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-252 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
607 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

465 
WWUS20 KWNS 012001
SEL0
SPC WW 012001
IAZ000-MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-020300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST IOWA
       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
       FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
       EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST OF YANKTON SOUTH
DAKOTA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALEXANDRIA MINNESOTA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 217...WW 218...WW 219...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS WARM SECTOR WITHIN
CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY AS REGION IS GLANCED BY MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND JET
STREAK MOVING THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY.  THE COMBINATION OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ARE RESULTING
IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH STEADILY STRENGTHENING LOW AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...SETUP WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 2:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Lyon, O'Brien and 4 more60 min
May 1, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Ida, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury4 hr
May 1, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth, Lyon, O'Brien and 3 more94 min
May 1, 6:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 16 more6 hr
May 1, 6:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington, Polk, Roseau2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2012Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2012Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.