Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2012

Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 19, 201217 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at May 19, 2012, 5:48 PM EDT for 17 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2012, 5:48 PM EDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2012, 9:42 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2915 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

140 
WWUS83 KAPX 192148
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
548 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH MID EVENING. TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL EXCEED RED FLAG CRITERIA AT MANY LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL
PERIODICALLY REACH OR EXCEED CRITERIA.


MIZ016>019-021>024-026>030-032>035-200300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.FW.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120520T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0003.120519T2148Z-120520T0300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
548 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS 
FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND 
GUSTY WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 EMMET...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 017 CHEBOYGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 PRESQUE ISLE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 019 CHARLEVOIX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 ANTRIM...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 OTSEGO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 
  MONTMORENCY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 024 ALPENA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  026 GRAND TRAVERSE... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 KALKASKA...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 028 CRAWFORD... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 OSCODA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 030 ALCONA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 
  WEXFORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 MISSAUKEE... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  034 ROSCOMMON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 OGEMAW.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH MID EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...FALLING INTO THE 60S
  BY MIDNIGHT. 

* LIGHTNING...NONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND DRY FUELS 
WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE 
CAREFUL WITH ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO A FIRES. 
CAMPFIRES...OUTDOOR GRILLS...SMOKING MATERIALS...CHAIN SAWS...AND 
ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLES ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO THROW A SPARK AND 
IGNITE A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE FIRE.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

MIZ036-200300-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0003.120519T2148Z-120520T0300Z/
IOSCO-
548 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FOR 
WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS 
FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND 
GUSTY WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 IOSCO.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH

* TIMING...THROUGH MID EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S EARLY...THEN FALLING INTO THE 
  THE 60S BY MIDNIGHT. 

* LIGHTNING...NONE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE CAREFUL WITH ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO A FIRES. CAMPFIRES...OUTDOOR
GRILLS...SMOKING MATERIALS...CHAIN SAWS...AND ALL-TERRAIN
VEHICLES ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO THROW A SPARK AND IGNITE A
DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE FIRE.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

ADAM
1 follow-up statement
625 
WWUS83 KAPX 200142
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
942 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...HIGH FIRE DANGER AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TEMPERATURES AND WIND GUSTS WILL MEET OR
EXCEED RED FLAG CRITERIA. HOWEVER...INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...BUT CLOSE
TO RED FLAG CRITERIA. 

MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-201100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120520T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.FW.A.0005.120520T1600Z-120521T0200Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
942 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES...IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TODAY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 CHEBOYGAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 018 PRESQUE ISLE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 OTSEGO...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 023 MONTMORENCY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 024 ALPENA... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 CRAWFORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 
  OSCODA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 030 ALCONA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 
  ROSCOMMON... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 OGEMAW AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 036 IOSCO.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...EARLY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 80S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND DRY FUELS
WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE
CAREFUL WITH ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO A
FIRES. CAMPFIRES...OUTDOOR GRILLS...SMOKING MATERIALS...CHAIN
SAWS...AND ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLES ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO THROW A
SPARK AND IGNITE A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE FIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MIZ016-019-021-026-027-032-033-200245-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120520T0300Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
942 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND WINDS HAVE EASED BACK
BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. 

$$

ADAM

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every red flag warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.