Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2012
Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at May 15, 2012, 3:56 AM EDT for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at May 15, 2012, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2012, 3:56 AM EDT (07:56 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 15, 2012, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 15, 2012, 8:33 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 8:15 PM EDT | HAIL 0.88 | Manistee, MI | |
| May 15, 8:20 PM EDT | HAIL 0.88 | 3 E Manistee, MI | |
| May 15, 8:21 PM EDT | HAIL 1 | 1 Sw Manistee, MI | |
| May 15, 8:27 PM EDT | HAIL 0.25 | 4 E Dublin, MI | |
| May 15, 8:34 PM EDT | HAIL 0.25 | 5 Wnw Manton, MI |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2769 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
503 WWUS83 KAPX 150756 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 356 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH WINDS... .LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE HURON TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. OUR FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN QUITE ELEVATED UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. WITH THE EXTREMELY DRY AIR...DRY LIGHTNING...RARE FOR THIS AREA...MAY OCCUR IN THE VICINITY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. MIZ016>036-041-042-151600- /O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0002.120515T1500Z-120516T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- 356 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH WINDS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 EMMET...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 CHEBOYGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 PRESQUE ISLE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 CHARLEVOIX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 LEELANAU... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 ANTRIM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 OTSEGO... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 MONTMORENCY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 024 ALPENA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 BENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 026 GRAND TRAVERSE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 KALKASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 CRAWFORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 OSCODA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 030 ALCONA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 031 MANISTEE... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 WEXFORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 MISSAUKEE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 ROSCOMMON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 OGEMAW...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 IOSCO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GLADWIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 ARENAC. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TIMING...ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO START AROUND 1100 AM THIS MORNING AND GO UNTIL 900 PM TONIGHT ONCE THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20-25 PERCENT...SOME LOCATIONS COULD BE IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. * LIGHTNING...AS THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR DRY LIGHTNING AS THE DRY AIR NEAR THE SFC MAY EVAPORATE MOST OF THE RAIN WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE CAREFUL WITH ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO A FIRES. CAMPFIRES...OUTDOOR GRILLS...SMOKING MATERIALS...CHAIN SAWS...AND ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLES ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO THROW A SPARK AND IGNITE A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE FIRE. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$
1 follow-up statement
569 WWUS83 KAPX 160033 RFWAPX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 833 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 MIZ016>036-041-042-160145- /O.CAN.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120516T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- 833 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN HAS KICKED OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...PROVIDING SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. ALSO...TEMPERATURES HAVE RAPIDLY DROPPED INTO THE 50S BEHIND THE FRONT. $$
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 3:55 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 11 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every red flag warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.