Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 53, NWS Tallahassee, FL

May 15, 20114 counties in Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at May 15, 2011, 2:36 AM CDT for 4 counties in Florida. It took effect at May 15, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2011, 2:36 AM CDT (07:36 UTC)
In effect from
May 15, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 15, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL

Counties Calhoun County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Washington County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 953 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
953 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1171 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

433 
WWUS82 KTAE 150736
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
336 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE INLAND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
...DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT AND ERC VALUES ABOVE 34...

.IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY'S FRONT...COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
OVERSPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ALTHOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE 4-5 DEGREES LOWER THAN YESTERDAY...THE DRIER AIR WILL
RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 
AROUND 4 HOURS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WHILE ERC VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 34. A PASSING UPPER DISTURBANCE ON
MONDAY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS. HOWEVER THE 
LOWER LEVELS OF THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY AND DISPERSION
INDICES WILL APPROACH 75. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE ISSUED
LATER TODAY VALID FOR MONDAY.

FLZ016>019-026-150845-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0044.110515T1900Z-110515T2300Z/
GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
336 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

NEITHER AT LEAST FOUR HOURS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NOR AN ERC
ABOVE 34 IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. THEREFORE THE WATCH WAS CANCELLED.

$$

FLZ009>011-013-152245-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0044.110515T1900Z-110515T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0053.110515T1900Z-110515T2300Z/
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
236 AM CDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
BELOW 35 PERCENT AND ERC VALUES ABOVE 34...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

BLOCK
1 follow-up statement
598 
WWUS82 KTAE 152005
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
405 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE INLAND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT 
AND ERC VALUES ABOVE 34...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM
EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR MOST INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...EXCEPT FOR DIXIE COUNTY...DUE TO AN
EXPECTED COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...HIGH 
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS 15 MPH OR GREATER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS...

.DISCUSSION...MUCH DRIER AIR IS SPREADING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE 
AREA THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT ON 
SATURDAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF COOLER DRIER AIR WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD 
ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN ON MONDAY. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER 
DEWPOINTS WILL ALSO DROP AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO 
FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS 
OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND MONDAY AFTERNOON. 
ALTHOUGH DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE MARGINAL ON 
MONDAY...DISPERSION LEVELS WILL BE HIGH AND 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE 
GUSTING FREQUENTLY 15 TO 20 MPH. THUS A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE 
ISSUED FOR MOST INLAND COUNTIES IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND 
FLORIDA BIG BEND FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. ON TUESDAY...A COMBINATION 
OF DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH DISPERSIONS...AND 20 
FOOT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR BOTH FLORIDA 
AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA COUNTIES...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE 
ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS FOR TUESDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MONITORED 
THROUGH THURSDAY FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

FLZ009>011-013-160415-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0054.110516T1800Z-110516T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0045.110517T1600Z-110518T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110515T2300Z/
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
305 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE INLAND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT 
AND ERC VALUES ABOVE 34...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH
HIGH DISPERSION LEVELS AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ007-012-016>019-026>029-160415-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0054.110516T1800Z-110516T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0045.110517T1600Z-110518T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-INLAND BAY-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
405 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 /305 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2011/

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM
EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR MOST INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...EXCEPT FOR DIXIE COUNTY...DUE TO AN
EXPECTED COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...HIGH 
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS 15 MPH OR GREATER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED
WITH HIGH DISPERSION LEVELS AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL ENHANCE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ008-014-015-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
160415-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0045.110517T1600Z-110518T0100Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-CENTRAL WALTON-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-
COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
405 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 /305 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2011/

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH
DISPERSION LEVELS...AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

DUVAL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 3:05 PM CDTFire Weather WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more24 hr
May 15, 3:05 PM CDTRed Flag WarningTAEBay, Calhoun, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson and 7 more13 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.