Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Watches in 2011

River Flood Watch 13, NWS Twin Cities, MN

March 19, 2011Eau Claire County, Wisconsin

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this river flood watch at Mar 19, 2011, 1:10 PM CDT for Eau Claire County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Mar 22, 2011, 8:12 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2011, 1:10 PM CDT (18:10 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 22, 2011, 8:12 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 20, 2011, 12:39 PM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN
Flood severity
None

County Eau Claire County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Eau Claire River near Fall Creek (FLCW3).

Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05366500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

050 
WGUS63 KMPX 191810
FFAMPX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 
110 PM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...

  EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR FALL CREEK  AFFECTING EAU CLAIRE COUNTY 

.THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT 
FEW DAYS...THAT WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT SNOW MELT. HOWEVER 
THE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BEGINNING SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY IS 
NOT INCLUDED IN THESE FORECASTS.

THIS WILL LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE UPPER PLAINS IN THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS WITH THE FIRST EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND THE 
SECOND ANTICIPATED FOR  TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY NIGHT 
AND INTO MONDAY WILL FALL AS RAIN. AT THIS TIME RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK 
LIGHTER WITH AMOUNTS BETWEEN TWO TENTHS AND FOUR TENTHS OF AN INCH COMMON. 
HOWEVER ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR WITH THE POTENTIAL OF 
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL 
WISCONSIN. ON TUESDAY...RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE COMMON BUT CHANGE TO SNOW 
MAINLY NORTH OF THE I-94 CORRIDOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-94 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY TAKE A FEW HOURS LONGER TO 
SWITCH TO ALL SNOW...MEANING MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION RECEIVED IN THOSE 
AREAS WILL BE LIQUID. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE AS SEVERAL OF THE
ATMOSPHERIC MODELS ARE HINTING AT DIFFERENT SCENARIOS. HOWEVER AN INCH OF 
LIQUID PRECIPITATION...WHICH INCLUDES RAIN AND SNOW AMOUNTS IS POSSIBLE.  
A SNOW EVENT WOULD BE A MORE OPTIMISTIC SOLUTION THAN A RAIN EVENT AS IT 
WILL NOT IMMEDIATELY RUN OFF INTO THE CREEKS...STREAMS...AND EVENTUALLY 
INTO THE RIVERS. 

SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT HOW MUCH SNOW WILL MELT THROUGH 
MONDAY...HOW MUCH RAIN AND SNOW WILL FALL...AND HOW MUCH OF THIS 
COMBINED TOTAL WATER WILL ACTUALLY MAKE IT INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS...HENCE 
THE ISSUANCE OF A FLOOD WATCH.

THE CURRENT RIVER FORECASTS ONLY TAKE INTO ACCOUNT 24 HOURS OF FORECAST 
PRECIPITATION...HENCE THROUGH 7 AM ON SUNDAY. SO THESE FORECAST DO NOT 
INCLUDE THE PRECIPITATION EVENT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA ON TUESDAY 
AND WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN 
HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR 
THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION 
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOOD EVENT.


WIC035-211810-
/O.NEW.KMPX.FL.A.0013.110322T1342Z-110325T0130Z/
/FLCW3.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
110 PM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR
  THE EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR FALL CREEK 
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY TUESDAY MORNING.


$$
1 follow-up statement
891 
WGUS63 KMPX 201739
FFAMPX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WATCH IS UPGRADED TO A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING 
RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR FALL CREEK  AFFECTING EAU CLAIRE COUNTY

.THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS...THAT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW MELT. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL
OCCURRED LAST NIGHT INTO THIS MONRING WHICH ADDED SOME WATER TO THE BASINS.
HOWEVER THE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BEGINNING LATE MONDAY THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY IS NOT INCLUDED IN THESE FORECASTS.

THIS WILL LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING THIS WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE UPPER PLAINS IN THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH THE FIRST EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS 
SYSTEM PRESENTS A COMPLICATED FORECAST AS IT WILL INVOLVE A MIXTURE OF 
RAIN AND SNOW. SNOWFALL WOULD BE THE IDEAL PRECIPITATION TYPE AS IT WOULD 
NOT GET INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS AS QUICKLY AS RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...RAINFALL 
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE ON TUESDAY BEFORE 
SWITCHING OVER TO SNOW LATER TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN
HOW WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BE...SO A CHANGE IN THE RAINFALL OR SNOWFALL
FORECAST IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES. WHETHER THE PRECIPITATION 
FALLS AS EITHER RAIN...SNOW...OR AS A MIXTURE...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL 
FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION TO FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. ISOLATED HIGHER 
AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR WITH THE POTENTIAL OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY ACROSS 
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN AS WELL. 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE AS SEVERAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC MODELS
ARE HINTING AT DIFFERENT SCENARIOS. HOWEVER AN INCH OF LIQUID 
PRECIPITATION...WHICH INCLUDES RAIN AND SNOW AMOUNTS IS POSSIBLE.  

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL POSSIBLY IMPACT THE REGION NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK 
INTO THE WEEKEND...AND PRECIPITATION LOOKS LIKE A MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN 
AT THIS TIME.

SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT HOW MUCH SNOW WILL MELT THROUGH 
TUESDAY...AND HOW MUCH RAIN AND SNOW WILL FALL...AND HOW MUCH OF THIS 
COMBINED TOTAL WATER WILL ACTUALLY MAKE IT INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS...BEFORE
COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT RIVER FORECASTS ONLY TAKE INTO ACCOUNT 24 HOURS OF FORECAST
PRECIPITATION...HENCE THROUGH 7 AM ON MONDAY. SO THESE FORECAST DO NOT 
INCLUDE THE PRECIPITATION EVENT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN
HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR
THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION 
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOOD EVENT.

WIC035-201809-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FL.A.0013.110322T1312Z-110325T0130Z/
/FLCW3.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR FALL CREEK 
* AT 11:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 11.8 
  FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

SPD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 12:53 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMPXPierce34 days

Nearby

River Flood Watches in Wisconsin, 2011Every river flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.