Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2011
Flood Watch 3, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Feb 27, 2011, 2:47 PM EST for 11 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 28, 2011, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 27, 2011, 2:47 PM EST (19:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 28, 2011, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2011, 9:13 PM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 494 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 94 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
899 WGUS61 KBUF 271947 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 247 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 ...THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT MAY LEAD TO FLOODING... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN TO THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-280400- /O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0003.110228T0900Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN... OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 247 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA... GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE... ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF IS POSSIBLE DUE TO INCREASING SNOWMELT AND RAINFALL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAINFALL AND A POSE A RISK FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. * THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG THE ALLEGHENY AND GENESEE RIVERS. THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHERE ICE JAMS MAY CONTINUE TO EXISTS. THE SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. * ALTHOUGH THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY... SOME OF THE STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL NOT CREST UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT OR EVEN INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS ON TUESDAY. STAY INFORMED EVEN AFTER THE RAINS END. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ TMA
5 follow-up statements
171 WGUS61 KBUF 280353 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1053 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 ...THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT MAY LEAD TO FLOODING... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-281200- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.110228T0900Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN... OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1053 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...GENESEE... LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO... ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING. * FROM 4 AM EST MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF IS POSSIBLE DUE TO INCREASING SNOWMELT AND RAINFALL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAINFALL AND A POSE A RISK FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. * THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG THE ALLEGHENY AND GENESEE RIVERS. THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHERE ICE JAMS MAY CONTINUE TO EXISTS. THE SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ RSH
894 WGUS61 KBUF 280810 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 310 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT MAY LEAD TO FLOODING... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO WESTERN NEW YORK WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA THIS MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE THREAT IS GREATEST OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER. NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-281615- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.110228T0900Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN... OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 310 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...GENESEE... LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO... ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF IS POSSIBLE DUE TO INCREASING SNOWMELT AND RAINFALL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAINFALL AND A POSE A RISK FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. * THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG THE ALLEGHENY AND UPPER GENESEE RIVERS. THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHERE ICE JAMS EXIST ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE. SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER ARE ALSO AT RISK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ SFM
150 WGUS61 KBUF 281615 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1115 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 NYZ001>003-011-013-014-281715- /O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 1115 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. AS A RESULT...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...BE ALERT FOR ANY RESIDUAL FLOODING ON ROADS...IN LOW LYING AREAS AND NEAR STREAMS AND CREEKS. $$ NYZ010-012-019>021-085-010015- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1115 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY...RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT AND OVERNIGHT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. * THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG THE ALLEGHENY AND UPPER GENESEE RIVERS. THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHERE ICE JAMS EXIST ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE. SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER ARE ALSO AT RISK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ TMA
914 WGUS61 KBUF 282041 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 341 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011 NYZ010-012-019>021-085-010445- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 341 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...ERIE AND WYOMING. * UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT * RAINFALL HAS ENDED...HOWEVER RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT AND OVERNIGHT RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHICH MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AND ALSO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. * THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG THE SMALL TRIBUTARIES OF THE ALLEGHENY AND UPPER GENESEE RIVERS IN THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHERE ICE JAMS EXIST ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE. FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY DUE TO LINGERING ICE JAMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES && $$ HITCHCOCK
037 WGUS61 KBUF 010213 FFABUF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 913 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011 NYZ010-012-019>021-085-010315- /O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 913 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE WATER LEVELS ON AREA TRIBUTARIES WILL BE AT HALF TO THREE QUARTER BANK FULL THROUGH TONIGHT...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES HAVE LOCKED UP ANY ADDITIONAL MELTING. SINCE THE RAIN FALL FROM THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS ALREADY BEEN HANDLED BY THE TRIBUTARIES...THE OVERALL WATER LEVELS ON MOST STREAMS WILL BE LOWERING DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. $$ RSH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2:58 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.