Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2011

Flood Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 16, 20114 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Feb 16, 2011, 3:54 AM EST for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 17, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 40 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2011, 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 17, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 19, 2011, 5:00 AM EST
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2408 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
212 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

058 
WGUS61 KBUF 160854
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...


NYZ010-019-085-161700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
354 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT FOR POSSIBLE ICE JAMS ON AREA CREEKS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN
  ERIE. THE WATCH IS FOR POSSIBLE ICE JAMS ON AREA CREEKS.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY
  AND LINGER UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
  WILL REACH 50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY AND THIS
  COMBINED WITH HIGH DEW POINTS WILL RESULT IN A RAPID MELTING OF
  OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK LEVELS TO RISE
  AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

  THE THREAT WILL BE GREATEST FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  FRIDAY NIGHT. THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE
  CAZENOVIA...CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO
  AREA...AND AT THE MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY
  ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND
BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE
TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

SFM
13 follow-up statements
584 
WGUS61 KBUF 161523
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1023 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...


NYZ010-019-085-162330-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1023 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK 
  TODAY AND LINGER UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. 
  TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON 
  THURSDAY AND THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH DEW POINTS WILL RESULT IN 
  A RAPID MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE 
  CREEK LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND 
  ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

* THE THREAT WILL BE GREATEST FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  FRIDAY NIGHT. THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE
  CAZENOVIA...CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...
  AND AT THE MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG
  THE CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL
780 
WGUS61 KBUF 161628
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1128 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ012-020-170030-
/O.EXA.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
1128 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH
  50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN A RAPID
  MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK LEVELS
  TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE
  JAMS.

* THE THREAT WILL BE GREATEST FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  FRIDAY NIGHT. THE CREEKS WITH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL ARE THE
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR GOWANDA...THE TONAWANDA CREEK BETWEEN
  ATTICA AND VARYSBURG...AND THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR STRYKERSVILLE.
  OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS RIVERS IN THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE
  ICE JAM FLOODING.

* EVEN WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL...ICE JAMS MAY CAUSE SOME CREEKS
  TO RISE. THOSE LOCATED IN AREAS WHICH ARE VULNERABLE TO ICE JAM
  FLOODING SHOULD BE ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY
  DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

NYZ010-019-085-170030-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1128 AM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* STREAMS AND CREEKS IN ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH
  50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN A RAPID
  MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK LEVELS
  TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE
  JAMS.

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA...
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA... AND AT THE
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE
  CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS RIVERS IN
  THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

* EVEN WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL...ICE JAMS MAY CAUSE SOME CREEKS
  TO RISE. THOSE LOCATED IN AREAS WHICH ARE VULNERABLE TO ICE JAM
  FLOODING SHOULD BE ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY
  DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL
618 
WGUS61 KBUF 162058
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
358 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING ERIE...CATTARAUGUS...
  CHAUTAUQUA...AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK 
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL 
  REACH 50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN 
  A RAPID MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE 
  CREEK LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND 
  ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA... 
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA... AND AT THE 
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE 
  CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS RIVERS IN 
  THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING. 

* EVEN WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL...ICE JAMS MAY CAUSE SOME CREEKS
  TO RISE. THOSE LOCATED IN AREAS WHICH ARE VULNERABLE TO ICE JAM
  FLOODING SHOULD BE ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY
  DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL
556 
WGUS61 KBUF 170328
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1028 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-171130-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1028 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
 ERIE AND WYOMING.

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK 
 UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL 
 REACH 50 OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN 
 A RAPID MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE 
 CREEK LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND 
 ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA... 
 CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA... AND AT THE 
 MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE 
 CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS RIVERS IN 
 THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

RSH
446 
WGUS61 KBUF 170940
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
440 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-171745-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
440 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
  ERIE AND WYOMING.

* FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH
  50 DEGREES OR BETTER ACROSS MOST AREAS TODAY RESULTING IN A
  RAPID MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK
  LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND
  ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS.

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA...
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...AND AT THE
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE
  CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE
  WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

TMA
075 
WGUS61 KBUF 171459
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-172300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.110217T1800Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
959 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...ERIE...AND WYOMING.

* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
  WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH FRIDAY....RESULTING IN A RAPID
  MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK
  LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND
  ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS.

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA...
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...AND AT THE
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA-
  ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE WATCH AREA MAY
  EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

APFFEL
568 
WGUS61 KBUF 172051
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
351 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...ERIE...AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
  WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH FRIDAY....RESULTING IN A RAPID
  MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE CREEK
  LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND
  ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS.

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA...
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...AND AT THE
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA-
  ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE WATCH AREA MAY
  EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

APFFEL
261 
WGUS61 KBUF 180154
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
854 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-181000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
854 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
 ERIE AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK 
 UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL 
 REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH FRIDAY....RESULTING IN A 
 RAPID MELTING OF OUR DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE 
 CREEK LEVELS TO RISE AND INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND 
 ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR ICE JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA... 
 CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...AND AT THE 
 MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE 
 CHAUTAUQUA- ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE 
 WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

THOMAS
250 
WGUS61 KBUF 180946
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
446 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-181800-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
446 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
  ERIE AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK
  UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL
  REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...RESULTING IN
  A CONTINUED MELTING OF THE REMAINING DENSE SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF
  WILL CAUSE THE CONTINUED RISE IN CREEK LEVELS AND INCREASE THE
  RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS.

* THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR ICE JAMS WILL BE CAZENOVIA...
  CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...AND AT THE
  MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG THE
  CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE
  WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

TMA
010 
WGUS61 KBUF 181523
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1023 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-182330-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1023 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
 ERIE AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK 
 UNTIL A COLD FRONT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL 
 REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...RESULTING 
 IN A CONTINUED MELTING OF THE REMAINING DENSE SNOWPACK. THE 
 RUNOFF WILL CAUSE THE CONTINUED RISE IN CREEK LEVELS AND 
 INCREASE THE RISK OF ICE BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS. 

* SEVERAL ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED THIS MORNING ALONG AREA
  CREEKS. THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR ICE JAMS CONTINUES TO BE
  CAZENOVIA... CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO
  AREA...AND AT THE MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY
  ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS
  IN THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

ZAFF
359 
WGUS61 KBUF 182049
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-190500-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
349 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
 ERIE AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN NEW YORK LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING UNTIL TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW
  THE FREEZING MARK. TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE
  DAY HAVE RESULTED IN A CONTINUED MELTING OF THE REMAINING DENSE
  SNOWPACK. THE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE THE CONTINUED RISE IN CREEK
  LEVELS WITH ICE PACK BREAKUP AND ASSOCIATED ICE JAMS.

* SEVERAL ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG AREA CREEKS. THE
  CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR ICE JAMS CONTINUES TO BE
  CAZENOVIA...CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO
  AREA...AND AT THE MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY
  ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS
  IN THE WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
345 
WGUS61 KBUF 190226
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
926 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND NEAR
SUNSET BAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-191000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
926 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN 
 ERIE AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY

* THE MILD WEATHER OF THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS LED TO A
  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF MELTING TO THE REGIONAL SNOW PACK. THE
  RUNOFF FROM THIS MELTDOWN HAS CONSIDERABLY RAISED WATER LEVELS
  ON AREA TRIBUTARIES...WHICH IN TURN HAS CREATED THE POTENTIAL
  FOR ICE JAMMING. WHILE SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL
  SLOW TO AMOUNT OF RUNOFF...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
  JAM FLOODING WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
  SATURDAY. 

* SEVERAL ICE JAMS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ALONG AREA CREEKS.
  THE CREEKS WITH HIGHEST RISK FOR ICE JAMS CONTINUES TO BE
  CAZENOVIA...CAYUGA...AND BUFFALO CREEKS IN THE BUFFALO AREA...
  AND AT THE MOUTH OF THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK NEAR SUNSET BAY ALONG
  THE CHAUTAUQUA-ERIE COUNTY LINE. OTHER CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE
  WATCH AREA MAY EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS
AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

RSH
236 
WGUS61 KBUF 191023
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
523 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-191130-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T1000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
523 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK HAS EXPIRED. 

SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES HAVE MOVED INTO WESTERN NEW YORK AND 
WILL LIMIT ADDITIONAL RUNOFF. SEVERAL ICE JAMS ARE ONGOING ALONG
AREA CREEKS. THE KNOWN ICE JAM FLOODING WILL BE HANDLED WITH
INDIVIDUAL FLOOD ADVISORIES. THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

TMA

Nearby

Flood Watches in New York, 2011Every flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.