Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Gaylord, MI

August 9, 2011Chippewa County, Mackinac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Aug 9, 2011, 10:20 AM EDT for Chippewa County, Mackinac County, Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2011, 10:20 AM EDT (14:20 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2011, 12:24 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Chippewa County, MI, Mackinac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 58 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-108 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
815 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

274 
WGUS53 KAPX 091420
FFWAPX
MIC033-097-091730-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0008.110809T1420Z-110809T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1020 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL MACKINAC COUNTY IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...
  WEST CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 130 PM EDT

* AT 1017 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED  
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES HAS ALREADY OCCURRED        
  WITH THESE STORMS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...EAST
  LAKE...FIBRE...GARNET...REXTON AND TROUT LAKE.

THIS INCLUDES THE CARP RIVER IN SOUTHWEST CHIPPEWA AND NORTH CENTRAL 
MACKINAC COUNTY.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED 
AREA.


&&

LAT...LON 4631 8475 4607 8482 4607 8503 4608 8531
      4624 8536 4626 8531 4625 8525 4627 8524
      4629 8516

$$


ARNOTT
2 follow-up statements
379 
WGUS73 KAPX 091532
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1132 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

MIC033-097-091730-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110809T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MACKINAC MI-CHIPPEWA MI-
1132 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL CHIPPEWA
AND CENTRAL MACKINAC COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 1130 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR 
ESTIMATES OF 4 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES HAVE FALLEN SO FAR WITH THESE 
STORMS...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS CENTERED NEAR TROUT LAKE.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...EAST
LAKE...FIBRE...GARNET...REXTON AND TROUT LAKE.

RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END DURING THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREA WITH LESS THAN ONE INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
EXPECTED.  

THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES THE CARP RIVER.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD.

&&

LAT...LON 4631 8475 4607 8482 4607 8503 4608 8531
      4624 8536 4626 8531 4625 8525 4627 8524
      4629 8516

$$


ARNOTT
897 
WGUS73 KAPX 091624
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1224 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

MIC033-097-091635-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110809T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MACKINAC MI-CHIPPEWA MI-
1224 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT WEST CENTRAL CHIPPEWA
AND CENTRAL MACKINAC COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVIER RAIN OF THIS 
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS OVER THE NEXT 
FEW HOURS.  BECAUSE OF THIS...MINOR FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.   
IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF FLOODING WAS OBSERVED PLEASE RELAY YOUR REPORT TO LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT OR TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD.

&&

LAT...LON 4631 8475 4607 8482 4607 8503 4608 8531
      4624 8536 4626 8531 4625 8525 4627 8524
      4629 8516

$$


JK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 9:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac33 min
Aug 9, 11:35 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX35 min
Aug 9, 11:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Charlevoix67 min
Aug 9, 12:09 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 9, 12:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim45 min
Aug 9, 1:42 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX61 min
Aug 9, 4:22 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX37 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.