Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Gaylord, MI

August 7, 2011Arenac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Aug 7, 2011, 3:58 PM EDT for Arenac County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2011, 3:58 PM EDT (19:58 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2011, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Arenac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 134 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
134 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
631 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

265 
WGUS53 KAPX 071958
FFWAPX
MIC011-072300-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0007.110807T1958Z-110807T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
358 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL ARENAC COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 700 PM EDT

* AT 358 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES THAT OVER 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE
  LAST HOURS...AND ANOTHER INCH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE RAIN ENDS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO   
  OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

&&

LAT...LON 4391 8405 4398 8405 4398 8386 4395 8386
      4393 8387 4391 8390 4391 8404

$$

JH
3 follow-up statements
110 
WGUS73 KAPX 072047
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
447 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MIC011-072300-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110807T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARENAC MI-
447 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ARENAC
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 441 PM EDT...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY 
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 INCHES OCCURRED BETWEEN 300 AND 400 PM. IN 
ADDITION...RADAR SHOWED NEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO 
THE WARNING AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE 
EXPECTED THROUGH 700 PM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...RURAL AREAS 
JUST SOUTH OF STANDISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

&&

LAT...LON 4391 8405 4398 8405 4398 8386 4395 8386
      4393 8387 4391 8390 4391 8404

$$

JH
637 
WGUS73 KAPX 072147
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
547 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MIC011-072300-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110807T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARENAC MI-
547 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ARENAC
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 541 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL 
BETWEEN 300 PM AND 500 PM...IN THE RURAL AREAS JUST SOUTH OF 
STANDISH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL OCCUR IN THIS AREA. THE THREAT OF 
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ANY 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL EXACERBATE ON-GOING FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

&&

LAT...LON 4391 8405 4398 8405 4398 8386 4395 8386
      4393 8387 4391 8390 4391 8404

$$

JH
522 
WGUS73 KAPX 072254
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
654 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MIC011-072306-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110807T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARENAC MI-
654 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL ARENAC
COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 700 PM EDT...

A FEW MORE RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH 8 PM. 
HOWEVER...HEAVIEST RAINFALL AND RAPID RUNOFF HAS ENDED. IF FLOODING 
HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT 
AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4391 8405 4398 8405 4398 8386 4395 8386
      4393 8387 4391 8390 4391 8404

$$


ADAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 4:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX51 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.