Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

June 21, 2011Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jun 21, 2011, 8:49 PM EDT for Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 6 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2011, 8:49 PM EDT (00:49 UTC)
Expired
Jun 22, 2011, 2:30 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Manistee County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 21, 8:51 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 2.295 Ssw Brethren, MITOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 7 PM.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2011-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2011-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1109 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

703 
WGUS53 KAPX 220049
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-220630-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0005.110622T0049Z-110622T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
849 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
  WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 230 AM EDT

* AT 846 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4
  INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF MANISTEE AND WEXFORD
  COUNTIES OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS...WITH SOME AREAS EXCEEDING 4
  INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST
  OF THE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WE BE FOUND AROUND THE 
  COMMUNITIES OF BRETHREN...YUMA AND HARRIETTA. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 4449 8539 4420 8541 4420 8628 4448 8616

$$


ADAM
4 follow-up statements
823 
WGUS73 KAPX 220223
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1023 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIC101-165-220630-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110622T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1023 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANISTEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM EDT...

AT 1017 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY MOVE 
BACK ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. DOPPLER 
RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS 
A GOOD PORTION OF MANISTEE AND WEXFORD COUNTIES OVER THE LAST 18 
HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST OF 
THE OVERNIGHT.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WE BE FOUND AROUND THE   
COMMUNITIES OF BRETHREN...YUMA AND HARRIETTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4449 8539 4420 8541 4420 8628 4448 8616

$$
415 
WGUS73 KAPX 220346
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1146 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIC101-165-220630-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110622T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1146 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANISTEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM EDT...

AT 1141 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THE NEXT WAVE OF THUNDERSTORMS...WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL... 
OCCURRING MASON...LAKE...NEWAYGO...AND OCEAN COUNTIES. THESE STORMS 
WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH...AND WILL BEGIN AFFECTING MANISTEE 
AND WEXFORD COUNTIES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...BOON...BRETHREN...COPEMISH...HARRIETTA...KALEVA...
MANTON...MEAUWATAKA...MESICK...MITCHELL STATE PARK...NORWALK...
ONEKAMA...SHERMAN...WELLSTON AND YUMA.

SOME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN MANISTEE. THIS ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4449 8539 4420 8541 4420 8628 4448 8616

$$

JH
362 
WGUS73 KAPX 220351 CCA
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED TYPO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1151 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIC101-165-220630-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110622T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1151 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANISTEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM EDT...

AT 1141 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THE NEXT WAVE OF THUNDERSTORMS...WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL... 
OCCURRING OVER MASON...LAKE...NEWAYGO...AND OCEAN COUNTIES. THESE 
STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH...AND WILL BEGIN AFFECTING 
MANISTEE AND WEXFORD COUNTIES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...BOON...BRETHREN...COPEMISH...HARRIETTA...KALEVA...
MANTON...MEAUWATAKA...MESICK...MITCHELL STATE PARK...NORWALK...
ONEKAMA...SHERMAN...WELLSTON AND YUMA.

SOME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN MANISTEE. THIS ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4449 8539 4420 8541 4420 8628 4448 8616

$$

JH
810 
WGUS73 KAPX 220631
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
231 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

MIC101-165-220644-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110622T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
231 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT MANISTEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230 AM EDT...

HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...STREAMS AND 
CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA MAY CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH. IF FLOODING HAS 
BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT 
AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4449 8539 4420 8541 4420 8628 4448 8616

$$

JH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 8:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Cheboygan and 16 more14 hr
Jun 21, 11:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXEmmet6 hr
Jun 22, 1:34 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX56 min
Jun 22, 1:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska27 min
Jun 22, 1:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX96 min
Jun 22, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Otsego47 min
Jun 22, 4:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX83 min
Jun 22, 4:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX87 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.