Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2010

Mesoscale Discussion 1663

August 12, 201024 counties in Minnesota; Ransom County, Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 12, 2010, 10:53 PM CDT for 24 counties in Minnesota; Ransom County, Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 12, 2010, 10:53 PM CDT (03:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2010, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 35 counties

Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pope County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2010-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5023 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2010-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5023 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1129 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.4
Supercell composite
14.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

518 
ACUS11 KWNS 130353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130353 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-130500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1663
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 PM CDT THU AUG 12 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ND - NERN SD - CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 130353Z - 130500Z

SUSTAINED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ATOP CONVECTIVE COLD BUBBLE
APPEARS PRIMARILY RESPONSIBLE FOR ONGOING AND MORE RECENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM CNTRL MN INTO SERN ND.  THIS ELEVATED
ACTIVITY IS LIKELY BEING FED FROM THE SW WHERE UPSTREAM AIRMASS HAS
YET TO BE OVERTURNED AND REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND UNSTABLE...EVEN AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES.  LATEST RADAR GUIDANCE SUGGEST
STRONGEST CORES ARE LIKELY PRODUCING NICKLE-QUARTER SIZED HAIL...BUT
ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY EXPANDING IN AREAL COVERAGE.  IF THESE TRENDS
CONTINUE A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

..DARROW.. 08/13/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON   46569781 46389408 44879379 44139500 44669789 46569781

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 12, 8:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Hennepin and 12 more61 min
Aug 13, 12:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Dodge, Faribault, Fillmore and 17 more57 min
Aug 13, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Dodge and 27 more4 hr
Aug 13, 2:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon, Murray, Nobles, Pipestone and 2 more62 min
Aug 13, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHouston115 min
Aug 13, 5:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago and 31 more8 hr
Aug 13, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 25 more119 min
Aug 13, 10:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 23 more84 min
Aug 13, 12:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 30 more56 min
Aug 13, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 38 more7 hr
Aug 13, 4:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha and 1 more6 hr
Aug 12, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger and 8 more7 hr
Aug 13, 1:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cass, Eddy, Foster, Griggs and 14 more67 min
Aug 13, 1:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Cass, Eddy, Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson and 5 more4 hr
Aug 12, 7:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Lawrence, Meade2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2010Every mesoscale discussion in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.