Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 310

March 22, 200710 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Kansas; 28 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 22, 2007, 12:52 AM CDT for 10 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Kansas; 28 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2007, 12:52 AM CDT (05:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 22, 2007, 1:45 AM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1474 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1474 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1236 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 220552
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220552 
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-220645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IA...NRN MO...FAR NERN KS...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 65...

VALID 220552Z - 220645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 65
CONTINUES.

LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
SRN-SERN IA...WITH SIMILAR THREAT ACROSS NRN MO...AS TSTMS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD ACROSS THIS REGION
OVERNIGHT.  WIND PROFILER/WSR-88D VADS INDICATED 60-65 KT SWLY LLJ
EXTENDING FROM ERN KS INTO THE SWRN GREAT LAKES REGION.  MOISTURE/
WARM AIR ADVECTION ALONG THIS LLJ AND FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THE
COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN TSTM DEVELOPMENT FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THIS BOUNDARY PROGRESSES S/SEWD.  MUCAPE
VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG AND POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING
POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS TO BECOME SURFACE BASED...OR NEAR SURFACE
BASED...ALONG THE FRONT SUGGESTS THAT STRONGER LOW LEVEL WINDS COULD
REACH THE SURFACE.

STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 8 C/KM AND MODERATE MUCAPE VALUES
WILL ALSO SUPPORT CONTINUED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.

..PETERS.. 03/22/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...TOP...

40569446 41159423 41179224 40549214 39339209 39069250
38889368 38899478 38989534 39159560 39449566 39779477
40119435

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 9:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Boone, Butler, Calhoun, Cerro Gordo and 21 more59 min
Mar 21, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 4 more4 hr
Mar 22, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson and 7 more118 min
Mar 22, 3:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Barber, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 28 more67 min
Mar 22, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Butler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 9 more2 hr
Mar 22, 2:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton, Cole and 21 more26 min
Mar 22, 2:59 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole, Cooper and 18 more7 hr
Mar 22, 6:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole and 20 more62 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.