Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 50, NWS Mobile, AL

May 7, 2007Walton County, Florida

NWS Mobile, AL issued this red flag warning at May 7, 2007, 6:02 AM CDT for Walton County, Florida. It took effect at May 7, 2007, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2007, 6:02 AM CDT (11:02 UTC)
In effect from
May 7, 2007, 12:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 7, 2007, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL

County Walton County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 427 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -19 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
427 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1333 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS84 KMOB 071102
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
602 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH HAS BUILT IN OVER THE REGION BEHIND A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED BY SUNDAY NIGHT. CALCULATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOW RH WILL BE IN THE HIGH TEENS TO MID 20S OVER A
PROLONGED PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY IN EXCESS OF 6 HOURS BELOW
30 PERCENT. DISPERSION WILL BE HIGH...FROM 45 TO 60...BECOMING POOR
OVERNIGHT.

FLZ001>006-008-071915-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0040.070507T1700Z-070508T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0050.070507T1700Z-070508T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0041.070508T1700Z-070509T0100Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
COASTAL WALTON-
602 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH OF YESTERDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT
BUT A NEW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY OVER THE SAME REGION.

DRY AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT...WITH
DAYTIME RH EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 17 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT...CAUSING HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURE WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS84 KMOB 071621 CCA
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTION TO HEADLINE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
602 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH HAS BUILT IN OVER THE REGION BEHIND A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED BY SUNDAY NIGHT. CALCULATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOW RH WILL BE IN THE HIGH TEENS TO MID 20S OVER A
PROLONGED PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY IN EXCESS OF 6 HOURS BELOW
30 PERCENT. DISPERSION WILL BE HIGH...FROM 45 TO 60...BECOMING POOR
OVERNIGHT.

FLZ001>006-008-071915-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0040.070507T1700Z-070508T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0050.070507T1700Z-070508T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0041.070508T1700Z-070509T0100Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
COASTAL WALTON-
602 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH OF YESTERDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT
BUT A NEW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY OVER THE SAME REGION.

DRY AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT...WITH
DAYTIME RH EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 17 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT...CAUSING HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURE WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMOB 071847
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
147 PM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND MODERATELY HIGH DISPERSION...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
AREA INTO TONIGHT. DAYTIME RH VALUES TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT.

FLZ001>006-008-080300-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0041.070508T1700Z-070509T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0051.070508T1700Z-070509T0100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-070508T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
COASTAL WALTON-
147 PM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM CDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

|DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST
TONIGHT... WITH DAYTIME RH EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 17 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE MONDAY AFTERNOON. STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
THE FRONT...CAUSING HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.


$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 6:02 AM CDTFire Weather WatchMOBWalton8 hr
May 7, 1:47 PM CDTRed Flag WarningMOBWalton30 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.