Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 57, NWS Melbourne, FL

November 7, 20074 counties in Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this red flag warning at Nov 7, 2007, 4:43 AM EST for 4 counties in Florida. It took effect at Nov 7, 2007, 8:00 AM EST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 7, 2007, 4:43 AM EST (09:43 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 7, 2007, 8:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 7, 2007, 1:10 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-11-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-11-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 070943
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
443 AM EST WED NOV 7 2007

FLZ041-044-144-072200-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0042.071107T1700Z-071107T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0057.071107T1300Z-071107T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
443 AM EST WED NOV 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH AND 15 MPH WINDS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ADVECT A VERY DRY AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING AS A DRY COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH TODAY. NORTH WINDS 15 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES COMBINED 
WITH MINIMUM LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT WILL
POSE A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...
OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$

FLZ045-046-141-072200-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0057.071107T1300Z-071107T2200Z/
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
443 AM EST WED NOV 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH AND 15 MPH WINDS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ADVECT A VERY DRY AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING AS A DRY COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH TODAY. NORTH WINDS 15 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES COMBINED 
WITH MINIMUM LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT WILL
POSE A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...
OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
1 follow-up statement
000 
WWUS82 KMLB 071810
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
110 PM EST WED NOV 7 2007


FLZ041-044>046-141-144-071915-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.W.0057.000000T0000Z-071107T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
110 PM EST WED NOV 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT.

WHILE DEW POINTS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY RAPIDLY FELL IMMEDIATELY
BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH TOOK PLACE PRIOR TO SUNRISE...
THESE VALUES HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING EVER SINCE...AND AS OF
1 PM...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINED ABOVE 40%. 

ADDITIONALLY...WHILE WINDS HAVE BEEN INCREASING OVER COASTAL VOLUSIA
COUNTY..THEY HAVE BEEN VEERING TO A SLIGHT ONSHORE COMPONENT...WHICH
IS ALLOWING DEW POINTS TO RISE FURTHER.

EVEN ACCOUNTING FOR INCREASING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...IT REMAINS
DOUBTFUL THAT RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 35% AT ALL TODAY. SINCE
NEITHER THE RH DURATION NOR THE RH PLUS WIND CRITERIA APPEAR AS IF
THEY WILL BE MET TODAY...THE RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED AT THIS
TIME.

$$


CRISTALDI

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.