Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS State College, PA

May 5, 20079 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this red flag warning at May 5, 2007, 2:31 PM EDT for 9 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2007, 2:31 PM EDT (18:31 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

Counties Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -98 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2533 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS81 KCTP 051831
RFWCTP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
231 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD OVER NORTHERN
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ACROSS ALL OF
PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CAUSING A NORTHERLY WIND TO
INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. DRY FINE FUELS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH THE WIND TO PRODUCE A
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH ACROSS THIS REGION.

THE GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND UP TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR ACROSS
ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING...CREATED BY A MODERATELY STRONG
DIFFERENCE IN PRESSURE BETWEEN A HIGH OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA...AND LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENING JUST OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST.


PAZ004>006-010>012-037-041-042-060300-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FW.W.0002.070505T1831Z-070506T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.FW.A.0002.070506T1600Z-070506T2300Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-
NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
231 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CAUSING A NORTHERLY WIND TO
INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. DRY FINE FUELS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH THE WIND TO PRODUCE A
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH ACROSS THIS REGION.

A MODERATELY STRONG DIFFERENCE IN PRESSURE BETWEEN A HIGH OVER
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENING JUST OFF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL CAUSE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO
AVERAGE 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. THIS WIND...COMBINED WITH 10
HOUR FUEL MOISTURE BELOW 10 PERCENT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE
20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE...WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-060300-
/O.CON.KCTP.FW.A.0002.070506T1600Z-070506T2300Z/
CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-
HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
231 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A MODERATELY STRONG DIFFERENCE IN PRESSURE BETWEEN A HIGH OVER
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENING JUST OFF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL CAUSE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO
AVERAGE 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THIS WIND...COMBINED WITH 10 HOUR FUEL
MOISTURE BELOW 10 PERCENT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 20 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE...WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR
AND RAPID SPREAD.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

LAMBERT/GRUMM

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 1:46 PM EDTFire Weather WatchCTPAdams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre and 27 more13 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.