Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at May 22, 2007, 3:35 AM EDT for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at May 22, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 22, 2007, 3:35 AM EDT (07:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 22, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- May 22, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1601 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS83 KAPX 220735 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 335 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 80 DEGREES... .LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 80 DEGREES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUSLY HIGH WILD FIRE CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MIZ016>036-041-042-222245- /O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0004.070522T1600Z-070523T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 335 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT...SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 15 TO 20 MPH AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 80 DEGREES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUSLY HIGH WILD FIRE CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS83 KAPX 221428 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1028 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS... .A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. DRY AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION...WHILE THE BETTER MOISTURE REMAINS WEST OF THE AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WHILE HUMIDITIES WILL NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. THE HIGHEST FIRE DANGER WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST AND SLEEPING BEAR DUNES...AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. HUMIDITIES AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS EAST OF INTERSTATE 75...INCLUDING THE HURON NATIONAL FOREST. MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-221530- /O.CAN.KAPX.FW.W.0004.070522T1600Z-070523T0000Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HARRISVILLE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1028 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 70S AWAY FROM THE LAKE...HUMIDITIES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 MPH...OR GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. $$ MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>034-230000- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0004.070522T1600Z-070523T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY... HOUGHTON LAKE 1028 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER TO AROUND 25 PERCENT FOR A BRIEF PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO NEAR 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ SMD
000 WWUS83 KAPX 221959 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 359 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES... .A WARM FRONT HAS STALLED OUT OVER NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO AREAS GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 75. HUMIDITIES IN A FEW LOCATIONS HAVE DROPPED TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT...BUT GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE YET TO DEVELOP. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 75 DEGREES THROUGH 8 PM WEST OF INTERSTATE 75...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 25 PERCENT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...POSSIBLY REACHING CRITICAL LEVELS. THE FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH 8PM...UNTIL TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES ARE ABLE TO LIFT THEMSELVES OUT OF CRITICAL LEVELS. THE HIGHEST FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE AROUND THE GRAND TRAVERSE BAY REGION INTO THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST. MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>034-230000- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070523T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY... HOUGHTON LAKE 359 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES ABOVE 75 DEGREES AND HUMIDITIES AROUND 25 PERCENT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH 8 PM. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FIRE WEATHER ELEMENTS WILL ALLOW THE RED FLAG WARNING TO REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ SMD
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.