Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at May 7, 2007, 8:46 AM EDT for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at May 7, 2007, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 7, 2007, 8:46 AM EDT (12:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 7, 2007, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 7, 2007, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3043 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS83 KAPX 071246 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 846 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S. .AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER...COMBINED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUSLY ELEVATED WILD FIRE DANGER TODAY. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM THE WEST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT. THIS MOISTURE WILL ARRIVE BY MID EVENING AND HELP TO SUPPRESS THE WILD FIRE THREAT.. MIZ016>036-041-042-080100- /O.UPG.KAPX.FW.A.0003.000000T0000Z-070508T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0003.070507T1500Z-070508T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 846 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT COUPLED WITH PERSISTENTLY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAVE RESULTED IN VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS....COMBINED WITH SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 20 TO 25 MPH...WILL GREATLY HEIGHTEN WILD FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS83 KAPX 072002 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 402 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S. .AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER...COMBINED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES HAVE RESULTED IN DANGEROUSLY ELEVATED WILD FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY. EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE MOISTURE...AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT...SUPPRESSES THE WILD FIRE THREAT.. MIZ016>036-041-042-080100- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070508T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 402 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT...COUPLED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND PERSISTENTLY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...HAVE RESULTED IN VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE AND A DANGEROUSLY ELEVATED WILD FIRE THREAT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO DROP AND SOME MOISTURE ARRIVES AHEAD OF A COOL FRONT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS83 KAPX 080104 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 904 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE... .WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AND SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY LEADING TO SOMEWHAT HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. MIZ016>036-041-042-080215- /O.EXP.KAPX.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070508T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 904 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AND SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY LEADING TO SOMEWHAT HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ AS
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.