Alert archive / Michigan / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this red flag warning at Apr 29, 2007, 10:34 AM EDT for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Apr 29, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 29, 2007, 10:34 AM EDT (14:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 29, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 29, 2007, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1884 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 67 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS83 KAPX 291434 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1034 AM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS... .LOW PRESSURE PUNCHING THROUGH ONTARIO TODAY WILL RESULT IN GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TEMPERATURES RISING TO AROUND 75 DEGREES FOR A MAJORITY OF THE REGION. THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS REMAINS DRY...AND HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER TO NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANTLY ELEVATED RISK FOR WILDFIRES. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF US 131 AND SOUTH OF M-32...INCLUDING THE HURON NATIONAL FOREST. THE LEAST THREAT WILL BE ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE... INCLUDING SLEEPING BEAR DUNES...AS WINDS WILL BE BLOWING OFF THE COOLER LAKE MICHIGAN WATER KEEPING HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL BRING ABOUT A SHARP WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND POSSIBLY A FEW SPRINKLES. ALSO...THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME COOLER EARLY IN THE EVENING WHICH WILL RESULT IN RISING HUMIDITIES AND A SHARPLY REDUCED WILDFIRE THREAT. MIZ016>036-041-042-300100- /O.UPG.KAPX.FW.A.0002.070429T1600Z-070430T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0002.070429T1600Z-070430T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1034 AM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO AROUND 75 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH AND WILL GUST TO 30 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER TO VALUES NEARING 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FIRE WEATHER ELEMENTS HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ SMD
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS83 KAPX 291948 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 348 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS... .LOW PRESSURE PUNCHING THROUGH ONTARIO THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND TEMPERATURES AROUND 75 DEGREES FOR A MAJORITY OF THE REGION. THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS REMAINS DRY...AND HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANTLY ELEVATED RISK FOR WILDFIRES. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF US 131 AND SOUTH OF M-32...INCLUDING THE HURON NATIONAL FOREST. THE LEAST THREAT WILL BE ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE... INCLUDING SLEEPING BEAR DUNES...AS WINDS WILL BE BLOWING OFF THE COOLER LAKE MICHIGAN WATER KEEPING HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL BRING ABOUT A SHARP WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. ALSO...THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME COOLER EARLY IN THE EVENING WHICH WILL RESULT IN RISING HUMIDITIES AND A SHARPLY REDUCED WILDFIRE THREAT. MIZ016>036-041-042-300100- /O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070430T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 348 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES AROUND 75 DEGREES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH AND WILL GUST TO 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN NEAR 25 PERCENT UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FIRE WEATHER ELEMENTS HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS83 KAPX 300054 RFWAPX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 854 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 MIZ016>036-041-042-300200- /O.EXP.KAPX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070430T0100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 854 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL HEADING INTO THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...WITH HUMIDITIES RECOVERING SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THEREFORE...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE GREATLY DIMINISHED TONIGHT...AND THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ LAWRENCE
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.