Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607

July 17, 20065 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 17, 2006, 2:28 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2006, 2:28 PM CDT (19:28 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2006, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Allamakee County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Scott County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Houston County, MN, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Adams County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk40 min
Jul 17, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan54 min
Jul 17, 5:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXTama28 min
Jul 17, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk19 min
Jul 17, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton64 min
Jul 17, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa58 min
Jul 17, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJohnson, Linn59 min
Jul 17, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton61 min
Jul 17, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa43 min
Jul 17, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware59 min
Jul 17, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJohnson48 min
Jul 17, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello37 min
Jul 17, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis41 min
Jul 17, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis18 min
Jul 17, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess57 min
Jul 17, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Stephenson63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2006-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2363 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2006-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2363 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1239 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 171933
SEL7  
SPC WW 171933
IAZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-180300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT MON JUL 17 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
       NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
       NORTHEAST MISSOURI
       SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF DUBUQUE IOWA TO 60 MILES WEST OF DES MOINES IOWA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 606...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF IA
THROUGH WI ALONG COLD FRONT AND RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. VERY
STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AROUND 4000 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR
AROUND 30 KT WILL SUPPORT A SUPERCELL AND BOW ECHO STRUCTURES. VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY MOVES SEWD
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30530.


...DIAL/THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 23 more86 min
Jul 17, 12:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 10 more2 hr
Jul 17, 3:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarlton, Cook, Itasca, Lake, Saint Louis88 min
Jul 17, 1:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Calumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Door and 24 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.