Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 310

March 18, 200621 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 18, 2006, 11:30 PM CST for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2006, 11:30 PM CST (05:30 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2006, 1:00 AM CST
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 21 counties

Bandera County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Irion County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Real County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2006-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1296 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2006-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1296 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-102 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1421 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 190530
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190530 
TXZ000-190700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST SAT MAR 18 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/SW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 94...

VALID 190530Z - 190700Z

LARGE AREA OF TSTMS WILL MOVE EWD OUT OF ERN PORTIONS WW DURING NEXT
2 HOURS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND OCCASIONAL HAIL BEING MAIN THREATS. 
OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING...REF MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 309 FOR MORE DETAILS.

ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS TERRELL/CROCKETT
COUNTIES...IN ZONE OF ELEVATED WAA/ASCENT BEHIND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. 
THESE TSTMS WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS CROCKETT COUNTY TOWARD AREA
BETWEEN SJT-JCT...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AS WELL.  MOST UNSTABLE
AIR MASS REMAINS NEAR AND S OF QUASISTATIONARY SFC FRONTAL ZONE --
ANALYZED AT 5Z FROM NEAR VCT ACROSS SAT AREA THEN WNWWD OVER
CROCKETT COUNTY.  MUCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG ARE EVIDENT OVER THIS
REGION...THOUGH STRONG CINH SHOULD SUPPRESS MOST DEVELOPMENT S OF
FRONT. ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO FORM TO ITS N WITH
MUCAPES 500-1000 J/KG AND 60-70 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR...ROOTED JUST
BENEATH 850 MB LEVEL BASED ON RUC SOUNDINGS.

..EDWARDS.. 03/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

29689991 30230065 30200200 31390099 32859933 32589896
31729898 31159889 30419880 29749909 29619960

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 7:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Bandera, Borden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 42 more7 hr
Mar 18, 8:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 34 more2 hr
Mar 18, 10:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan and 28 more2 hr
Mar 19, 1:23 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Crockett and 18 more37 min
Mar 19, 2:05 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBlanco, Burnet, Concho, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr and 9 more6 hr
Mar 19, 4:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Burnet, Concho, Edwards, Gillespie and 13 more88 min
Mar 19, 7:55 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 43 more35 min
Mar 19, 8:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Llano, Travis, Williamson2 hr
Mar 19, 10:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Camp and 42 more93 min
Mar 19, 12:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Glasscock and 13 more2 hr
Mar 19, 3:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Coryell and 20 more118 min
Mar 19, 3:38 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 20 more5 hr
Mar 19, 5:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Brown, Concho, Edwards, Gillespie, Irion and 16 more114 min
Mar 19, 5:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Ector, Gaines and 8 more54 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.