Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 252

March 12, 2006Perry County, Spencer County, Indiana; 34 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 12, 2006, 7:54 AM EST for Perry County, Spencer County, Indiana; 34 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2006, 7:54 AM EST (12:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 12, 2006, 9:30 AM EST
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 36 counties

Perry County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2006-03-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 482 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2006-03-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 237 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
482 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
731 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
237 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 121254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121254 
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-121430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 68...

VALID 121254Z - 121430Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN AND PERHAPS
INTO CNTRL KY. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WW.

AS OF 1245Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A FAIRLY LONG LIVED
INFLECTION OR BOWING PORTION OF ENE-WSW ORIENTED CONVECTIVE LINE
JUST S OF THE OH RIVER OVER WEBSTER...CRITTENDEN AND LIVINGSTON
COUNTIES IN WRN KY MOVING APPROXIMATELY 270/40 KTS.  THIS BOWING
FEATURE HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS EARLIER OVER FAR
SRN IL.  MODIFICATION OF 12Z BNA SOUNDING FOR PROXIMITY INFLOW AIR
MASS /I.E. BWG/ INDICATES A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
SURFACE-BASED PARCELS WITH SBCAPES OF 800-1000 J/KG.  HOWEVER...THIS
SOUNDING AND LOCAL VWPS CONTINUE TO INDICATE RATHER STRONG LOW AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS REGION WITH 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-350 M2/S2 AND
0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 40-50 KTS...RESPECTIVELY.

GIVEN THAT AIR MASS SHOULD FURTHER DESTABILIZE THROUGH THE MORNING
OWING TO INCREASED DIABATIC HEATING...IT APPEARS THAT SOME POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP INTO
CNTRL KY.

..MEAD.. 03/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...

36708808 37178841 37818802 38188688 37788552 37388491
36868526 36628670

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 9:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Clay, Fountain, Jasper, Montgomery, Newton and 6 more84 min
Mar 11, 10:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Knox, Parke, Posey, Sullivan, Vigo94 min
Mar 11, 11:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dubois, Gibson, Orange, Perry, Pike and 4 more55 min
Mar 12, 12:10 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCDaviess, Gibson, Knox, Pike, Posey, Spencer and 2 more2 hr
Mar 12, 2:07 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCCrawford, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Jackson, Knox and 10 more7 hr
Mar 12, 4:39 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaviess, Dubois, Gibson, Knox, Martin, Perry and 5 more96 min
Mar 12, 2:02 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dubois, Gibson, Harrison, Perry, Pike and 4 more88 min
Mar 12, 5:22 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLake, Porter53 min
Mar 12, 5:49 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter5 hr
Mar 12, 6:54 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Kosciusko and 10 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.