Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Watches in 2006

Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 12, 2006Morris County, Sussex County, Warren County, New Jersey; 5 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this flash flood watch at Jul 12, 2006, 3:45 AM EDT for Morris County, Sussex County, Warren County, New Jersey; 5 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jul 12, 2006, 3:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2006, 3:45 AM EDT (07:45 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 12, 2006, 3:00 PM EDT
Expired
Jul 13, 2006, 3:46 AM EDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Flood severity
None

Counties Morris County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1349 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1349 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
858 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS61 KPHI 120745
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-121800-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0005.060712T1900Z-060713T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
345 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST 
  CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...MORRIS...SUSSEX 
  AND WARREN IN EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...LEHIGH AND 
  NORTHAMPTON IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...CARBON AND MONROE.

* FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
  VALLEY WILL MOVE JUST NORTH OF OUR AREA TODAY AND INTO NEW
  ENGLAND TONIGHT, BRINGING A FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA. THIS FRONT,
  COMBINED WITH THE EXTREMELY HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE,
  WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL YIELD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
  TIME THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF URBAN
AREAS, ROADS AND HIGHWAYS, SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL AS
OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS IN A SHORT TIME PERIOD. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH
AREA SHOULD LOOK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION IF FLOODING OCCURS OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS.
KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED, MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING, AND
NEVER DRIVE THROUGH WATER. TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL
COMMERCIAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON DEVELOPING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS61 KPHI 121450
FFAPHI

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1050 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-122300-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.A.0005.060712T1900Z-060713T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
1050 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
  NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS, IN
  NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, MORRIS, SUSSEX AND WARREN, IN EAST CENTRAL
  PENNSYLVANIA, BERKS, LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON AND IN NORTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA, CARBON AND MONROE.

* FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* LOW PRESSURE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE NORTH
  OF OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT,
  BRINGING A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA. THIS FRONT,
  COMBINED WITH THE EXTREMELY HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE,
  WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
  PRODUCE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA, WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF URBAN
AREAS, ROADS AND HIGHWAYS, SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL AS
OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS IN A SHORT TIME PERIOD. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH
AREA SHOULD LOOK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION IF FLOODING OCCURS OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA, CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS.
KEEP INFORMED AND BE READY FOR ACTION. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR
IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED, MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING, AND
NEVER DRIVE THROUGH WATER. TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL
MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON DEVELOPING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

$$

GORSE
000 
WGUS61 KPHI 122117
FFAPHI

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
517 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-130900-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-060713T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
517 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
  NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS, IN
  NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, MORRIS, SUSSEX AND WARREN, IN EAST CENTRAL
  PENNSYLVANIA, BERKS, LEHIGH AND NORTHAMPTON, AND IN NORTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA, CARBON AND MONROE.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH OF OUR AREA TONIGHT. AS
  A RESULT, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA LATE
  TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS FRONT, COMBINED WITH THE HUMID AND
  UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE, WILL ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY DRENCHING RAINFALL
  CAN OCCUR DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE.
  SOME AREAS COULD PICK UP ABOUT 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME TONIGHT, CAUSING QUICK RUNOFF.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA, WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF URBAN
AREAS, ROADWAYS, SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF FLOODING OCCURS OR A
WARNING IS ISSUED. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS LIFE
THREATENING SITUATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

$$

GORSE
000 
WGUS61 KPHI 130746
FFAPHI

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
346 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-130900-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-060713T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
346 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS MORNING,
AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED NUISANCE FLOODING AND RISES
ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST PRECIPITATION
IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING.

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 12:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren52 min
Jul 12, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris46 min
Jul 12, 6:06 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI39 min
Jul 12, 6:57 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI33 min
Jul 12, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICape May42 min
Jul 12, 7:33 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI40 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2006Flash Flood Watches in New Jersey, 2006Every flash flood watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.