Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 17, 2006Oscoda County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 17, 2006, 6:21 PM EDT for Oscoda County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2006, 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2006, 9:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Oscoda County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 17, 7:30 PM EDTFLOOD2 Nw Mio, MIKITTLE ROAD WASHED OUT IN ELMER TOWNSHIP

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2006-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2108 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2006-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2108 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-244 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1114 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KAPX 172220
FFWAPX
MIC135-180115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
621 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  OSCODA COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 612 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS OSCODA COUNTY AS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
  TO TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA.  RADAR ESTIMATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES
  OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OSCODA COUNTY THROUGH 8
  PM.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MIO...
  MCKINLEY...FAIRVIEW AND COMINS.  THIS INCLUDES AREAS ADJACENT TO
  CARTER CREEK...CHERRY CREEK...BEAVER CREEK...AND OTHER SMALL
  TRIBUTARIES TO THE AU SABLE RIVER.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GAYLORD.

LAT...LON 4485 8436 4456 8433 4455 8395 4484 8390

$$

JPB
2 follow-up statements
000
WGUS73 KAPX 172339
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
739 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

MIC135-180115-
OSCODA MI-
739 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR
OSCODA COUNTY...

AT 734 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 
INDICATED IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS 
OSCODA COUNTY.  

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RED 
OAK...GARLAND...FAIRVIEW AND COMINS.  THIS INCLUDES AREAS ADJACENT 
TO THE AU SABLE RIVER...INCLUDING SUCH TRIBUTARIES AS CHERRY 
CREEK...CARTER CREEK...AND BEAVER CREEK.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED SOUTH...RUNOFF FROM THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN STILL RESULT IN RAPID FLOODING OF THESE AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 4485 8436 4456 8433 4455 8395 4484 8390

$$

JPB
000
WGUS73 KAPX 172346
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
746 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

MIC135-180115-
OSCODA MI-
746 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR
OSCODA COUNTY...

AT 734 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 
INDICATED IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS 
OSCODA COUNTY.  

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RED 
OAK...GARLAND...FAIRVIEW AND COMINS.  THIS INCLUDES AREAS ADJACENT 
TO THE AU SABLE RIVER...INCLUDING SUCH TRIBUTARIES AS CHERRY 
CREEK...CARTER CREEK...AND BEAVER CREEK.

HIGH WATER HAS WASHED OUT PORTIONS OF KITTLE ROAD IN ELMER TOWNSHIP 
NORTH OF MIO DAM.  

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED SOUTH...RUNOFF FROM THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN STILL RESULT IN RAPID FLOODING OF THESE AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 4485 8436 4456 8433 4455 8395 4484 8390

$$

JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 12:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa49 min
Jul 17, 12:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX52 min
Jul 17, 1:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX62 min
Jul 17, 2:09 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX66 min
Jul 17, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Emmet36 min
Jul 17, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMackinac28 min
Jul 17, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXPresque Isle20 min
Jul 17, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford33 min
Jul 17, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXOscoda67 min
Jul 17, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona59 min
Jul 17, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX44 min
Jul 17, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford63 min
Jul 17, 4:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX67 min
Jul 17, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXPresque Isle39 min
Jul 17, 4:44 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Jul 17, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXOscoda61 min
Jul 17, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXLeelanau57 min
Jul 17, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena56 min
Jul 17, 5:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX83 min
Jul 17, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Grand Traverse57 min
Jul 17, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford63 min
Jul 17, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXOscoda65 min
Jul 17, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXKalkaska63 min
Jul 17, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Iosco62 min
Jul 17, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGrand Traverse56 min
Jul 17, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie63 min
Jul 17, 6:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXCrawford3 hr
Jul 17, 6:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXOgemaw, Roscommon67 min
Jul 17, 6:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX87 min
Jul 17, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXWexford64 min
Jul 17, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac59 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2006Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.