Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 310

March 19, 200521 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 19, 2005, 3:27 PM CST for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2005, 3:27 PM CST (21:27 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2005, 5:00 PM CST
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 21 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Milam County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2005-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 368 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2005-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
368 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
678 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 192128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192127 
TXZ000-192300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 53...

VALID 192127Z - 192300Z

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD INTO ERN PORTIONS OF WW IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...

ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS HAMPERED BY RELATIVELY WEAK
LOW LEVEL SHEAR/FORCING.  RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST LIMITED INFLOW INTO
UPDRAFT REGION...THUS LIFETIME CYCLE HAS BEEN REDUCED TO MOSTLY
PULSE-TYPE CONVECTION. NWD-DRIFTING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SOON SPREAD INTO SERN PORTIONS OF WW AS REMNANTS OF EARLY AFTERNOON
CLUSTER PROPAGATES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS BURNET/BLANCO COUNTIES. 
STRONGEST UPDRAFTS WILL BE THOSE THAT CAN MANAGE TO DEVELOP ALONG
OUTFLOW WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS MOST BUOYANT.

WILL MONITOR COASTAL PLAINS OF TX FOR POSSIBLE WW.

..DARROW.. 03/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

28149885 30389850 31019667 29389625 28659752

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 12:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Blanco, Burleson, Burnet and 15 more119 min
Mar 19, 1:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal and 15 more7 hr
Mar 19, 4:38 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Atascosa, Austin, Bee, Brazos, Burleson and 32 more67 min
Mar 19, 5:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Aransas, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Brazoria and 38 more7 hr
Mar 19, 5:32 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.