Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 2021

August 18, 20054 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 18, 2005, 8:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2005, 8:00 PM CDT (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2005, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 67 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2005-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3273 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2005-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3273 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1671 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
14.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 190100
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190100 
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-190300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS/FAR SERN NEB...NRN MO/FAR SRN IA AND
WCENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 732...

VALID 190100Z - 190300Z

SEVERAL SVR TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD POSING THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DMGG WINDS ACROSS MAINLY WRN HALF OF WW 732 FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. SOME OF THE SVR STORMS MAY DEVELOP SLIGHTLY NWD OUT OF WW
732 INTO FAR SRN IA...BUT OVERALL NWD EXTENT OF SVR SHOULD BE
MITIGATED BY FOCUSED SSWLY INFLOW...THAT ANOTHER WW INTO SRN IA IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SVR STORMS MAY DEVELOP WEST OF
WW 732 INTO NCENTRAL/CENTRAL KS...BUT SIMILARLY THE SVR THREAT
APPEARS LIMITED ENOUGH THAT A WW IS NOT EXPECTED IN THIS AREA
EITHER.

00Z TOPEKA AND LINCOLN IL SOUNDINGS INDICATE MODERATE TO VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES FROM 2500-3500 J/KG. FOCUSED LIFT
ALONG SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM A LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
NEAR SLN ENEWD TO WCENTRAL IL SHOULD OFFSET INITIAL NOCTURNAL
STABILIZATION AND SUPPORTING SVR THREAT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS.
INCREASING SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET MAY SUPPORT EITHER A BACKBUILDING MCS
INTO THE MKC METRO AREA LATER THIS EVENING OR FORWARD PROPAGATING
MCS THAT WOULD REACH WCENTRAL IL TOWARDS 05Z. AREA VWP/S SUGGEST
THAT LEFT SPLITTING SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SOME OF THESE LEFT
SPLITS MAY MOVE INTO FAR SRN IA...OUT OF WW 732. HOWEVER...LIMITED
ENOUGH COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED SO ANOTHER WW IS NOT EXPECTED.

..CROSBIE.. 08/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

40079669 38759670 39388943 40688941 40579295

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, Lake92 min
Aug 18, 9:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt and 18 more67 min
Aug 18, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Crawford and 24 more8 hr
Aug 18, 11:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, McDonough, Pike60 min
Aug 19, 4:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford66 min
Aug 19, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Lawrence, Wabash86 min
Aug 19, 4:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 23 more2 hr
Aug 19, 10:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Dickinson, Ellis and 23 more2 hr
Aug 19, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 11 more115 min
Aug 19, 2:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Edwards, Ellis and 33 more53 min
Aug 19, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Barton, Brown, Chase, Clay, Cloud and 49 more7 hr
Aug 19, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barton, Brown, Chase, Clay, Cloud and 39 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.