Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 607

May 8, 2004Boyd County, Nebraska; 21 counties in North Dakota; 38 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 8, 2004, 9:17 PM CDT for Boyd County, Nebraska; 21 counties in North Dakota; 38 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2004, 9:17 PM CDT (02:17 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2004, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 60 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Wells County, ND, Boyd County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bennett County, SD, Brown County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clark County, SD, Davison County, SD, Day County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Jones County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McCook County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Miner County, SD, Potter County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2004-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 196 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2004-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
196 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2876 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 090217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090217 
NDZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-090345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0917 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AND CENTRAL ND/SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166...168...

VALID 090217Z - 090345Z

DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR BEYOND WW 166
EXPIRATION TIME OVER CENTRAL/ERN ND. HOWEVER...A CONTINUED WEAKENING
TREND IS ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE A NEW WW IS NOT EXPECTED. FARTHER
SOUTH...SEVERE THREAT WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS OVER
CENTRAL SD...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OVER SCENTRAL SD WHERE A
CLUSTER SEVERE STORMS WILL MOVE SEWD AROUND 30 KTS. THE SEVERE
THREAT MAY MOVE OUT OF WW 168 BY 09/04Z...THEREFORE A NEW WW MAY BE
NEEDED FOR SERN SD.

00Z SOUNDING FROM ABR INDICATES SUBSTANTIALLY LESS INSTABILITY THAN
AREAS FARTHER WEST...WITH MUCAPES AROUND 400 J/KG. ALTHOUGH DAMAGING
WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE CONVECTIVE LINE OVER CENTRAL ND IS
ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN THE NEXT HOUR AND WW 166 WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 09/02Z. FARTHER SOUTH...INSTABILITY AXIS OF
2000-3000 J/KG EXTENDS FROM NWRN IA INTO FAR NRN NEB. INCREASING SLY
LOW LEVEL JET OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS MAY AID IN SUFFICIENT
INFLOW/CONVERGENCE TO SUPPORT A CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS OVER
SCENTRAL SD SOUTHEAST OF WW 168. CURRENT EXTRAPOLATION OF THIS
CLUSTER MOVEMENT...300/30 KTS WOULD TAKE THE SEVERE THREAT OUT OF WW
168 BY 09/04Z. AREAS SE OF WW 168 WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANOTHER
POSSIBLE WW IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..CROSBIE.. 05/09/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...BIS...LBF...UNR...

43340200 44000162 45879999 46300054 46790039 47890015
48969991 48509785 44999727 43629726 42849833 42990167

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cass, Clay, Dodge, Douglas, Fillmore and 20 more2 hr
May 8, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Burt, Butler, Cass, Clay and 29 more6 hr
May 8, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Douglas, Fillmore, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson and 12 more2 hr
May 9, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Gage and 14 more23 min
May 9, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Blaine, Brown, Chase, Cherry, Custer and 19 more3 hr
May 9, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo and 29 more6 hr
May 9, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar2 hr
May 9, 6:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Buffalo, Butler and 37 more2 hr
May 8, 7:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons and 19 more119 min
May 9, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSargent3 hr
May 8, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds and 20 more6 hr
May 9, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBon Homme, Brookings, Deuel, Douglas, Hanson, Hutchinson and 8 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.