Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 2021

August 16, 200425 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 16, 2004, 6:49 PM CDT for 25 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2004, 6:49 PM CDT (23:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2004, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 25 counties

Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Wright County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2004-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2004-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-295 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

737 
ACUS11 KWNS 162349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162349 
IAZ000-170145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 755...

VALID 162349Z - 170145Z

CONTINUE WW.

VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ONGOING.  MOST INTENSE STORMS HAVE
BEEN SOUTH OF MASON CITY...WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WAS
MAXIMIZED ALONG THERMAL GRADIENT TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF SURFACE
LOW...NOW NORTH OF SIOUX CITY. HOWEVER...MORE RECENT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT HAS TAKEN PLACE UPSTREAM TOWARD SURFACE LOW...SUPPORTED
BY FORCED ASCENT OF BOUNDARY LAYER WITH MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE AROUND
2000 J/KG.  FURTHER INCREASE/INTENSIFICATION OF THUNDERSTORMS
APPEARS LIKELY IN THIS ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NORTHWEST/CENTRAL IOWA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW
REGIME AND ASSOCIATED SHEAR ARE RATHER WEAK...BUT THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..KERR.. 08/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...

42879538 43149436 42869282 42249258 41739233 41399288
41269381 41579464 42049525 42529588

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 7:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickinson, Lyon, Osceola, Sioux2 hr
Aug 16, 4:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Harrison and 9 more57 min
Aug 16, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo and 34 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.