Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 12, 2004Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 12, 2004, 12:47 PM EDT for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2004, 12:47 PM EDT (16:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2004, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jefferson County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2004-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 41 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2004-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 110 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
41 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS51 KBUF 121648
FFWBUF
NYC045-121945-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1247 PM EDT MON JUL 12 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 1243 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 
  INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING
  9 MILES EAST OF FORT DRUM. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CARTHAGE AND HERRINGS...NEAR
ROUTE 3.  EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 4416 7564 4406 7584 4391 7576 4416 7553

$$

DJF
2 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS71 KBUF 121716
FFSBUF
NYC045-121945-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
112 PM EDT MON JUL 12 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR JEFFERSON
COUNTY...

AT 108 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF FORT DRUM NEAR THE TOWN OF DEFERIET. THE 
THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAIN WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY EAST AT 3 TO 
5 MPH TOWARD CARTHAGE.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL OF NEARLY 3 INCHES IN 
THE PAST HOUR AND A HALF JUST EAST OF DEFERIET. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

LAT...LON 4416 7564 4406 7584 4391 7576 4416 7553

$$

NIZIOL
000 
WGUS71 KBUF 121810
FFSBUF
NYC045-121945-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
159 PM EDT MON JUL 12 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR JEFFERSON
COUNTY...

AT 155 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN CARTHAGE AND NATURAL BRIDGE AND WAS 
MOVING VERY SLOWLY EAST AT LESS THAN 3 MILES AN HOUR. RADAR 
ESTIMATES OF 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED WITH THIS STORM IN 
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THE REGION BETWEEN CARTHAGE AND NATURAL 
BRIDGE WILL BE SUBJECT TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGH 345PM. IF YOU 
ARE TRAVELLING THROUGH THIS AREA...INCLUDING ROUTE 3...BE PREPARED 
TO GET TO HIGHER GROUND.  DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

ANOTHER NEARLY STATIONARY THUNDERSTORM WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL HAS 
DEVELOPED BETWEEN THERESA AND LAFARGEVILLE. RADAR ESTIMATES OVER 2 
INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM THIS STORM IN THE PAST HOUR AND A HALF. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.  
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF 
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. 

LAT...LON 4416 7564 4406 7584 4391 7576 4416 7553

$$

NIZIOL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 3:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFJefferson2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.