Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 310

March 20, 200364 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Kentucky; 18 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 20, 2003, 3:41 PM EST for 64 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Kentucky; 18 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2003, 3:41 PM EST (20:41 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2003, 5:45 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 150 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Bartholomew County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jay County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Miami County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Adair County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Preble County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2003-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2003-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1227 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

431 
ACUS11 KWNS 202042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202041 
KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-202245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CST THU MAR 20 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...INDIANA...CENTRAL KY...SWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 68...69...

VALID 202041Z - 202245Z

LATEST SURFACE MAP SHOWS LARGE ZONE OF PRESSURE FALLS COVERING
ALL OF IN...WRN OH...AND EXTENDING SWD INTO WRN TN AND NRN AL. 
PRONOUNCED DRYING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS OCCURRED OVER WRN TN
AND EXTENDING NWD INTO WRN KY AND SRN IL...WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING
INTO THE 40S AND 30S F.  DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S REMAIN OVER
SERN IN...SWRN OH...AND CENTRAL AND ERN KY...YIELDING MLCAPES ON
THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG.  LBX AND IND VWPS SHOW FAVORABLE
SHEAR PROFILE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH SLIGHTLY LESS FAVORABLE
PROFILES INTO CENTRAL OH.  INCREASING WIND PROFILES...ALONG WITH
CONTINUED LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND OBSERVED PRESSURE FALLS SUGGEST
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY
OVER CENTRAL AND SRN IN...SWRN OH...AND CENTRAL AND N-CENTRAL KY
WHERE WIND PROFILES ARE MOST FAVORABLE WITHIN MOIST AXIS.

..JEWELL.. 03/20/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...

37068376 36668498 36828635 37918693 39588714 40478726
41168682 41458508 40458394 39738351 38048353 37128367

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 1:23 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Daviess, Dearborn and 25 more3 hr
Mar 20, 1:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDaviess, Dubois, Gibson, Knox, Perry, Pike and 4 more6 hr
Mar 20, 2:05 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 47 more6 hr
Mar 20, 2:20 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Floyd, Harrison, Washington6 hr
Mar 19, 8:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Bracken, Carter, Clark, Elliott and 20 more89 min
Mar 20, 6:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Carter, Elliott, Floyd, Greenup, Johnson and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.