Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 21, 2003, 1:32 PM EDT for Antrim County, Otsego County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 21, 2003, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 21, 2003, 4:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties Antrim County, MI, Otsego County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 186 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 540 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS53 KAPX 211731 FFWAPX MIC009-137-212030- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 132 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ANTRIM COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OTSEGO COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 115 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER EASTERN ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES. MOVEMENT WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * DOPPLER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OTSEGO COUNTIES. AREAS ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER...FRENCHMAN CREEK...AND KOLKE CREEK IN SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY ARE SUBJECT TO RAPID INCREASES IN WATER LEVELS. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. $$ JPB/TBA
4 follow-up statements
514 RWUS32 KAPX 211833 FFSAPX MIC009-137-212030- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 234 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTRIM AND OTSEGO COUNTIES IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 430 PM EDT... AT 230 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES. MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNING AREA SINCE 1 PM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2.37 INCHES IN 50 MINUTES WERE RECORDED AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN GAYLORD...WITH RADAR ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN UNDER TWO HOURS TIME ACROSS EASTERN ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES. ALTHOUGH STORMS HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS MAY STILL CAUSE RAPID FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADWAYS AND UNDERPASSES...AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. $$ TBA/JPB
000 RWUS32 KAPX 211926 FFSAPX MIC009-137-220115- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 325 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTRIM AND OTSEGO COUNTIES IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 430 PM EDT... AT 325 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES HAVE WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE LAST HOUR. HOWEVER...LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADWAYS AND UNDERPASSES...AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FELL IN UNDER TWO HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA... PARTICULARLY BETWEEN ALBA IN EASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY AND WATERS IN SOUTHWEST OTSEGO COUNTY. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. $$ ADAM/JPB
000 RWUS32 KAPX 211927 CCA FFSAPX MIC009-137-212030- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED UGC EXPIRATION TIME NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 325 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTRIM AND OTSEGO COUNTIES IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 430 PM EDT... AT 325 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN ANTRIM AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES HAVE WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE LAST HOUR. HOWEVER...LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADWAYS AND UNDERPASSES...AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FELL IN UNDER TWO HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA... PARTICULARLY BETWEEN ALBA IN EASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY AND WATERS IN SOUTHWEST OTSEGO COUNTY. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. $$ ADAM/JPB
770 RWUS32 KAPX 212031 FFSAPX MIC009-137-212050- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 430 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ANTRIM AND OTSEGO COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE... AT 430 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAVE DIMINISHED SUBSTANTIALLY...WITH ONLY A FEW RAIN SHOWERS REMAINING OVER OTSEGO COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING HAS NOT BEEN REPORTED IN ANTRIM OR OTSEGO COUNTIES. HOWEVER...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL BETWEEN 100 PM AND 300 PM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...MAINLY BETWEEN ALBA IN EASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY AND WATERS IN SOUTHWEST OTSEGO COUNTY. STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. $$ ADAM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 8:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 51 min |
| Jul 20, 8:14 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 91 min | |
| Jul 20, 8:14 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 91 min | |
| Jul 20, 11:40 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 65 min | |
| Jul 20, 11:40 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 65 min | |
| Jul 21, 12:45 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 60 min | |
| Jul 21, 2:19 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 41 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.