Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 21

March 9, 200226 counties in New York; 38 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 9, 2002, 8:30 PM EST for 26 counties in New York; 38 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2002, 8:30 PM EST (01:30 UTC)
Expired
Mar 10, 2002, 1:00 AM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 64 counties

Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Yates County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 8:52 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Yates53 min
Mar 9, 8:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Yates46 min
Mar 9, 9:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chemung, Oneida, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca and 1 more61 min
Mar 9, 9:47 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chemung, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins58 min
Mar 9, 9:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSteuben, Yates25 min
Mar 9, 10:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder, Union42 min
Mar 9, 10:39 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga and 2 more51 min
Mar 9, 10:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan31 min
Mar 9, 10:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill60 min
Mar 9, 11:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York73 min
Mar 9, 11:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Madison, Oneida, Otsego52 min
Mar 9, 11:39 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks51 min
Mar 9, 11:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon32 min
Mar 10, 12:05 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHILehigh, Monroe, Northampton55 min
Mar 10, 12:07 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego, Sullivan53 min
Mar 10, 12:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego, Sullivan60 min

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2002-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 30 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2002-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 266 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
488 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 100059
SEL1  
SPC WW 100049
NYZ000-PAZ000-LOZ000-100600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 21
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
749 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

   MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK                           
   CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA                       
   LAKE ONTARIO                       

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM UNTIL
100 AM EST.

HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HARRISBURG
PENNSYLVANIA TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN NEW YORK.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. 
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...  CONTINUE...WW 20...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ENEWD AT 50 KT AS STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE MOVES NEWD
INTO THE AREA. STRONG PRESSURE FALL/RISE COUPLET AND SUBSIDENCE
INDICATED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. 
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 300.  MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25050.

...IMY

440,0735 394,0753 394,0783 440,0770

WWUS20 KWNS 100059
SEL1  
SPC WW 100049
NYZ000-PAZ000-LOZ000-100600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 21
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
749 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

   MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK                           
   CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA                       
   LAKE ONTARIO                       

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM UNTIL
100 AM EST.

HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HARRISBURG
PENNSYLVANIA TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN NEW YORK.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. 
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...  CONTINUE...WW 20...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ENEWD AT 50 KT AS STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE MOVES NEWD
INTO THE AREA. STRONG PRESSURE FALL/RISE COUPLET AND SUBSIDENCE
INDICATED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. 
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 300.  MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25050.

...IMY

440,0735 394,0753 394,0783 440,0770

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 11:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Bronx, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia, Delaware and 26 more4 hr
Mar 10, 2:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNassau, Queens, Suffolk, Westchester4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2002Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2002Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.